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<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD Journal Publishing with OASIS Tables v3.0 20080202//EN" "journalpub-oasis3.dtd">
<article xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:oasis="http://docs.oasis-open.org/ns/oasis-exchange/table" xml:lang="en" dtd-version="3.0"><?xmltex \makeatother\@nolinetrue\makeatletter?>
  <front>
    <journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">ACP</journal-id><journal-title-group>
    <journal-title>Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics</journal-title>
    <abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">ACP</abbrev-journal-title><abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Atmos. Chem. Phys.</abbrev-journal-title>
  </journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">1680-7324</issn><publisher>
    <publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
    <publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
  </publisher></journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/acp-19-11545-2019</article-id><title-group><article-title>Fossil fuel combustion and biomass burning sources of global<?xmltex \hack{\break}?> black carbon from GEOS-Chem simulation and carbon<?xmltex \hack{\break}?> isotope measurements</article-title><alt-title>Fossil fuel combustion and biomass burning sources of global black carbon</alt-title>
      </title-group><?xmltex \runningtitle{Fossil fuel combustion and biomass burning sources of global black carbon}?><?xmltex \runningauthor{L. Qi and S. Wang}?>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Qi</surname><given-names>Ling</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes" rid="aff1 aff2">
          <name><surname>Wang</surname><given-names>Shuxiao</given-names></name>
          <email>shxwang@tsinghua.edu.cn</email>
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9727-1963</ext-link></contrib>
        <aff id="aff1"><label>1</label><institution>State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution
Control, School of Environment,<?xmltex \hack{\break}?> Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2"><label>2</label><institution>State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Sources and Control of Air Pollution Complex, Beijing 100084, China</institution>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <author-notes><corresp id="corr1">Shuxiao Wang (shxwang@tsinghua.edu.cn)</corresp></author-notes><pub-date><day>12</day><month>September</month><year>2019</year></pub-date>
      
      <volume>19</volume>
      <issue>17</issue>
      <fpage>11545</fpage><lpage>11557</lpage>
      <history>
        <date date-type="received"><day>18</day><month>January</month><year>2019</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-request"><day>3</day><month>April</month><year>2019</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-recd"><day>9</day><month>July</month><year>2019</year></date>
           <date date-type="accepted"><day>22</day><month>August</month><year>2019</year></date>
      </history>
      <permissions>
        <copyright-statement>Copyright: © 2019 </copyright-statement>
        <copyright-year>2019</copyright-year>
      <license license-type="open-access"><license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/.html">This article is available from https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/.html</self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/.pdf</self-uri>
      <abstract><title>Abstract</title>
    <p id="d1e101">We identify sources (fossil fuel combustion versus
biomass burning) of black carbon (BC) in the atmosphere and in deposition
using a global 3-D chemical transport model GEOS-Chem. We validate the
simulated sources against carbon isotope measurements of BC around the globe and find that the model reproduces mean biomass burning contribution
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M1" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>; %) in various regions within a factor of 2 (except in Europe, where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M2" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is underestimated by 63 %). GEOS-Chem shows that contribution from biomass burning in the Northern Hemisphere (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M3" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>: <inline-formula><mml:math id="M4" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">35</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">14</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %) is much less than that in the Southern Hemisphere (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M5" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">50</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">11</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %). The largest atmospheric <inline-formula><mml:math id="M6" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is in Africa (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M7" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">64</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">20</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %). Comparable contributions from biomass burning and fossil fuel combustion are found in southern (S) Asia (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M8" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">53</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %), southeastern (SE) Asia (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M9" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">53</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">11</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %), S America (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M10" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">47</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">14</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %), the S Pacific (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M11" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">47</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">7</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %), Australia (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M12" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">53</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">14</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %) and the Antarctic (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M13" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">51</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %). <inline-formula><mml:math id="M14" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is relatively small in eastern Asia (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M15" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">40</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %), Siberia (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M16" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">35</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">8</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %), the Arctic (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M17" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">33</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">6</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %), Canada (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M18" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">31</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">7</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %), the US (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M19" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">25</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %) and Europe (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M20" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">19</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">7</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %). Both observations and model results suggest that atmospheric <inline-formula><mml:math id="M21" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is higher in summer (59 %–78 %, varying with sub-regions) than in winter (28 %–32 %) in the Arctic, while it is higher in winter (42 %–58 %) and lower in summer (16 %–42 %) over the Himalayan–Tibetan Plateau. The seasonal variations of Atmospheric<inline-formula><mml:math id="M22" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are relatively flat in North America, Europe and Asia. We conducted four experiments to investigate the uncertainties associated with biofuel emissions, hygroscopicity of BC in fresh emissions, the aging rate and size-resolved wet scavenging. We find that doubling biofuel emissions for domestic heating north of 45<inline-formula><mml:math id="M23" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N increases <inline-formula><mml:math id="M24" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values in Europe in winter by <inline-formula><mml:math id="M25" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %, reducing the discrepancy between observed and modeled atmospheric <inline-formula><mml:math id="M26" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> from <inline-formula><mml:math id="M27" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">63</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> % to <inline-formula><mml:math id="M28" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">54</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %. The remaining large negative discrepancy between model and observations suggests that the biofuel emissions are probably still underestimated at high latitudes. Increasing the fraction of thickly coated hydrophilic BC from 20 % to 70 % in fresh biomass burning plumes increases the fraction of hydrophilic BC in biomass burning plumes by 0 %–20 % (varying with seasons and regions) and thereby reduces atmospheric <inline-formula><mml:math id="M29" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> by up to 11 %. Faster aging (4 h <inline-formula><mml:math id="M30" display="inline"><mml:mi>e</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-folding time versus 1.15 d <inline-formula><mml:math id="M31" display="inline"><mml:mi>e</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-folding time) of BC in biomass burning plumes reduces atmospheric <inline-formula><mml:math id="M32" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> by 7 % (1 %–14 %, varying with seasons and regions), with the largest reduction in remote regions, such as the Arctic, the Antarctic and the S Pacific. Using size-resolved scavenging accelerates scavenging of BC particles in both fossil fuel and biomass burning plumes, with a faster scavenging of BC in fossil fuel plumes. Thus, atmospheric <inline-formula><mml:math id="M33" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> increases in most regions by 1 %–14 %. Overall, atmospheric <inline-formula><mml:math id="M34" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is determined mainly by <inline-formula><mml:math id="M35" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in
emissions and, to a lesser extent, by atmospheric processes, such as aging and scavenging. This confirms the assumption that <inline-formula><mml:math id="M36" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in local emissions determines atmospheric <inline-formula><mml:math id="M37" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in previous studies, which compared measured atmospheric <inline-formula><mml:math id="M38" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> directly with local <inline-formula><mml:math id="M39" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in bottom-up emission inventories.</p>
  </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
<body>
      

      <?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>
<?pagebreak page11546?><sec id="Ch1.S1" sec-type="intro">
  <label>1</label><title>Introduction</title>
      <p id="d1e552">Black carbon (BC) in the atmosphere and deposited over snow and ice absorbs
solar radiation, triggers positive feedbacks and exerts a positive radiative
forcing on the global climate (IPCC, 2014). Estimates of BC radiative
forcing span a large range (0.2–1 W m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M40" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>; Bond et al., 2013; IPCC,
2014). One of the uncertainties lies in the
predictions of BC vertical profiles around the globe that are different by orders of magnitude, particularly in remote
regions, by chemical transport and by climate models (Samset et al., 2013,
2014). To reduce the uncertainty, in addition to the widely used BC
concentration observations in the troposphere, at the surface and in snow,
observation-based source apportionment (fossil fuel versus biomass burning)
of BC provides another dimension for constraining model simulations of BC
distribution. The optical properties of BC from fossil fuel and biomass
burning plumes are distinctively different (Bond et al., 2013), resulting in
different radiative forcing from the two sources (Jacobson, 2010). Because
of the relatively short lifetime compared to greenhouse gases, accurate source
apportionment of BC is important for short-term climate change mitigation.</p>
      <p id="d1e567">Carbon isotope analysis is effective in distinguishing emissions from fossil
fuel combustion (e.g., coal, oil and natural gas) and contemporary biomass
burning (expressed as contribution from biomass burning, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M41" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>; %)
because fossil emissions are free of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M42" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">14</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and biomass emissions have a
characteristic <inline-formula><mml:math id="M43" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">14</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi><mml:msup><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">12</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ratio that is proportional to atmospheric
carbon dioxide at the time of carbon fixation (Reddy et al., 2002).
Combining <inline-formula><mml:math id="M44" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M45" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">14</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> measurements further
differentiates the contribution from coal and liquid fossil fuel combustion
(oil, gasoline and diesel; Andersson et al., 2015, and references therein).
Fossil fuel combustion has an anthropogenic origin, including industrial
use, domestic cooking and heating, and transport (Bond et al., 2007).
Contemporary biomass burning can come from both anthropogenic and natural
sources. The former includes mainly industrial and domestic burning of
biofuels (fuelwood, charcoal, agricultural residues and dung; Fernandes et
al., 2007), and the latter involves open fires of forests, crops, grass and
peatlands (van der Werf et al., 2010). Carbon isotope measurements are
widely used for source apportionment of BC in the atmosphere in southern Asia
(Gustafsson et al., 2009; Budhavant et al., 2015), eastern Asia (Chen et al.,
2013; Andersson et al., 2015; Zhang et al., 2015; Li et al., 2016), Europe
(Szidat et al., 2006, 2009; Zhang et al., 2012) and the Arctic (Barrett et
al., 2015; Winiger et al., 2015, 2016, 2017); in snow over the
Himalayan–Tibetan Plateau (Li et al., 2016); and in an Alpine ice core (Jenk
et al., 2006).</p>
      <p id="d1e638">Previous studies (Gustafsson et al., 2009; Chen et al., 2013; Li et al.,
2016) compared carbon isotope measurements directly to the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M46" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> of local
bottom-up emission inventories. The assumption behind these studies is that
the major controlling factor of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M47" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in the atmosphere is local
emissions. However, BC-containing particles in fossil fuel and biomass
burning plumes have distinctively different mixing states and
hygroscopicities (Moteki et al., 2007; Schwarz et al., 2008; Shiraiwa et
al., 2007; Akagi et al., 2012), which might further affect BC scavenging in
the two kinds of plumes and thus <inline-formula><mml:math id="M48" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in the atmosphere and after
deposition. Li et al. (2016) found smaller contribution from fossil fuel in
snow than in air, suggesting that biomass burning emissions are easier to
deposit compared to fossil fuel combustion emissions. Possible factors
affecting <inline-formula><mml:math id="M49" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in the atmosphere and in deposition are mixing states and
hygroscopicities in freshly emitted fossil fuel and biomass burning plumes,
the consecutive aging rate, and scavenging. However, as far as we are aware,
no study has quantified the contribution of different factors to sources in
terms of global BC in the atmosphere and in deposition.</p>
      <p id="d1e685">In this study, we simulate sources of BC (fossil fuel combustion versus
biomass burning) using a global 3-D chemical transport model GEOS-Chem. We
describe the model and the carbon isotope measurements in Sects. 2 and 3,
respectively. We evaluate the model simulation of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M50" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in Sect. 4.1;
analyze the spatial and temporal variations of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M51" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in Sect. 4.2; and
evaluate the uncertainties associated with <inline-formula><mml:math id="M52" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in BC emissions, the BC
mixing state and hygroscopicity in fresh emissions, aging rage and
size-resolved scavenging in Sect. 4.3.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2">
  <label>2</label><title>Model description</title>
      <?pagebreak page11547?><p id="d1e729">GEOS-Chem is a global chemical transport model driven by assimilated
meteorological fields from the Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) of the
NASA Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (Bey et al., 2001). We use
GEOS-Chem v11-01 coupled with the TwO-Moment Aerosol Sectional (TOMAS)
microphysics scheme (Adams and Seinfeld, 2002). This is a state-of-the-art
global model for simulating global distribution of BC (Wang et al., 2011; Qi et
al., 2017a, c). We use 15 size bins ranging from 3 nm to 10 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M53" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>m,
with tracers for sulfate, sea salt, organic aerosols, BC and dust (Pierce
et al., 2007; Lee et al., 2009; D'Andrea et al., 2013; Kodros and Peirce,
2017). Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications,
Version 2 (MERRA2), meteorological data sets are used to drive model simulation
at 4<inline-formula><mml:math id="M54" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> latitude <inline-formula><mml:math id="M55" display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 5<inline-formula><mml:math id="M56" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> longitude horizontal
resolution and 47 vertical layers from the surface to 0.01 hPa. Global
fossil fuel and biofuel combustion emissions of BC are from Bond et al. (2007) and Fernandes et al. (2007), respectively. We also include gas
flaring emissions from Stohl et al. (2013). We use data of BC emissions in Asia
by Li et al. (2017). We apply seasonal variations for domestic heating
emissions based on the degree-day concept (Stohl et al., 2013; Qi et al.,
2017c). We use daily open fire emissions from the Global Fire Emissions Database
version 4 (GFED4; Giglio et al., 2013) in this study. We assume 20 % of
the freshly emitted BC aerosols to be thickly coated and hydrophilic (Park
et al., 2003). We assume that hydrophobic BC is converted to hydrophilic BC with an
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M57" display="inline"><mml:mi>e</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-folding time of 1.15 d (Park et al., 2005). Wet deposition follows Liu
et al. (2001), with updates of below-cloud scavenging efficiency and
in-cloud scavenging in ice clouds in Wang et al. (2011) and updates of BC
scavenging in mix-phase clouds in Qi et al. (2017a).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3">
  <label>3</label><title>Observation data</title>
      <p id="d1e780">To our knowledge, carbon isotope analysis of BC sources in the atmosphere is available at 65
sites across the globe in different seasons (Table S1 and
Fig. S3 in the Supplement). Generally, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M58" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values are larger in remote regions (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M59" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">36</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">16</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> % in southern Asia, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M60" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">33</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">14</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> % in the Arctic and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M61" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">39</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">17</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %
over the Himalayan–Tibetan Plateau) than those in urban regions (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M62" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> % in North America), indicating a larger contribution from biofuel and
open fires in rural, developing and remote regions. In addition, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M63" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
values strongly depend on seasons (see detailed analysis in Sect. 4.2.1).
Carbon isotope measurements of BC in snow are only available over the
Tibetan Plateau from Li et al. (2016).</p>
      <p id="d1e854">The isotope mass balance equation based on the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M64" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">14</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M65" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">14</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi><mml:msup><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">12</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) data was applied to apportion the relative contributions
to atmospheric BC from biomass burning of modern carbon (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M66" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) and fossil
fuel combustion:
          <disp-formula id="Ch1.E1" content-type="numbered"><label>1</label><mml:math id="M67" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">14</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">14</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">14</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ff</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
        where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M68" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">14</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the measured radiocarbon content of the BC
component and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M69" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">14</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula><inline-formula><mml:math id="M70" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ff</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> is <inline-formula><mml:math id="M71" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1000</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ‰ by
definition because fossil carbon is completely depleted in radiocarbon (Li
et al., 2016). <inline-formula><mml:math id="M72" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">14</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula><inline-formula><mml:math id="M73" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> endmembers used in this equation
are usually between <inline-formula><mml:math id="M74" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">70</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ‰ and
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M75" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">225</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ‰, depending on the type and age of the burned
biomass (Winiger et al., 2015; Barrett et al., 2015; Li et al., 2016). The
former value corresponds to freshly produced biomass, such as crop and
grass. The latter value reflects the burning of wood, which has accumulated
over a life span that is decades to centuries long. A different choice of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M76" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">14</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula><inline-formula><mml:math id="M77" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> endmember is one of the uncertainties associated with this
source apportionment method. The uncertainty of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M78" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">25</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ‰
translates to <inline-formula><mml:math id="M79" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> % in the resulting <inline-formula><mml:math id="M80" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> estimate (Winiger et
al., 2016). Another uncertainty stems from the method of isolating BC from
total carbon in sampled particles, as described by Zhang et al., 2012. They found that the
isolation method prior to thermal treatments, thermal-optical methods and
the heating protocols is important to the isolation of BC and organic
carbon and the following isotope analysis. They found that different
protocols of the thermal-optical method lead to a <inline-formula><mml:math id="M81" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %
difference of estimated <inline-formula><mml:math id="M82" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4">
  <label>4</label><title>Results and discussions</title>
      <p id="d1e1128">GEOS-Chem captures the probability density function (PDF) of annual BC
concentrations at sites in the US, Europe, China and the Arctic (see site
description in Qi et al., 2017b) but overestimates the frequency of low BC
concentrations (Fig. S1a). About 30 % of the simulated annual BC
concentration in air is underestimated by a factor of 2 (Fig. S1b). The
model reproduces the PDF of BC concentration in snow preferably (correlation
coefficient <inline-formula><mml:math id="M83" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.98</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>; Fig. S2a). The simulated median BC concentrations
in snow in various regions agree with observations within a factor of 2,
except in the region NC_Northeast Border (Fig. S2b), where the
model overestimates the observed BC concentration in snow by a factor of 3
due to the overestimate of local emissions in that region (Qi et al.,
2017b).</p>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS1">
  <label>4.1</label><title>Contribution of biomass burning to BC in various regions</title>
      <p id="d1e1150">The GEOS-Chem-simulated mean atmospheric <inline-formula><mml:math id="M84" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in each region agrees with observations within a factor of 2, except in Europe, where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M85" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is underestimated by 63 % (Fig. 1a). The low bias of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M86" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in Europe occurs in non-summer seasons (observation: 45 %; model: 13 %), which is partly due to the underestimate of biofuel combustion for domestic heating by Fernandes et al. (2007) in most of the European regions during cold seasons (Herich et al., 2011). In southern (S) Asia, mean atmospheric <inline-formula><mml:math id="M87" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is overestimated by 50 %, mostly from the 90 % overestimate of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M88" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> at Delhi (observation: 28 %; model: 52 %). At this site, atmospheric <inline-formula><mml:math id="M89" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values in spring and summer are overestimated by 100 % and 200 %, respectively. In North America, the model overestimates <inline-formula><mml:math id="M90" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> at
Salt Lake City (SLC) and Mexico City by a factor of 2. Possible reasons for
the overestimate are explained in Sect. 4.2.1. In the Arctic and eastern (E)
Asia, the model reproduces the observed <inline-formula><mml:math id="M91" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values within 3 % and 7 %, respectively. In addition, GEOS-Chem underestimates the large
variations of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M92" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values (horizontal lines in Fig. 1a) in every
region (except in the Arctic) due to the coarse horizontal and vertical
resolutions.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F1" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{1}?><label>Figure 1</label><caption><p id="d1e1255">Observed and GEOS-Chem-simulated fraction of biomass burning
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M93" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>; %) of <bold>(a)</bold> BC in the atmosphere in the Arctic, southern Asia, North America, Europe, eastern Asia and the Himalayan–Tibetan Plateau (the regions are symbol and color coded; see data in Table S2) and <bold>(b)</bold> BC in snow during monsoon (red) and non-monsoon (black) seasons over the Himalayan–Tibetan Plateau. Also shown in panel <bold>(a)</bold> are the standard deviations of observed and model simulated <inline-formula><mml:math id="M94" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in each region, reflecting the temporal and spatial variations of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M95" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in the region (horizontal and vertical lines). Observations of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M96" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in the atmosphere in panel <bold>(a)</bold> are from carbon isotope
analysis as listed in Table S1. Observations of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M97" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in BC in snow in panel <bold>(b)</bold> are from Li et al. (2016). Solid lines in panels <bold>(a)</bold> and <bold>(b)</bold> are 1 : 1 ratio lines,
and dashed lines are 1 : 2 (or 2 : 1) ratio lines.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=384.112205pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/19/11545/2019/acp-19-11545-2019-f01.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e1342">Over the Himalayan–Tibetan Plateau, observations show that biomass burning
dominates BC deposited in snow (64 %), but its contribution in the
atmosphere is much less (39 %; Li et al., 2016). GEOS-Chem reproduces the
average <inline-formula><mml:math id="M98" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in snow (model: 63 %) but overpredicts the average
atmospheric <inline-formula><mml:math id="M99" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (model: 62 %) by 56 %. GEOS-Chem-simulated
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M100" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values of BC deposition in snow at all sites over the
Himalayan–Tibetan Plateau agree with observations within 40 % during both
monsoon (June–August) and non-monsoon seasons (Fig. 1b), suggesting that
the model captures the spatial and temporal variations of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M101" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in BC
deposition in this region. The overestimate of the atmospheric <inline-formula><mml:math id="M102" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is
mainly from the 130 % overestimate of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M103" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> during the monsoon season
(observation: 29 %; model: 67 %). Possible reasons for the overestimate
are discussed in Sect. 4.2.1.</p><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>
</sec>
<?pagebreak page11548?><sec id="Ch1.S4.SS2">
  <label>4.2</label><?xmltex \opttitle{Temporal and spatial variations of $f_{\mathrm{bb}}$ in different regions}?><title>Temporal and spatial variations of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M104" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in different regions</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS2.SSS1">
  <label>4.2.1</label><?xmltex \opttitle{Temporal variation of $f_{\mathrm{bb}}$}?><title>Temporal variation of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M105" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></title>
      <p id="d1e1451">In the Arctic at Abisko, observed <inline-formula><mml:math id="M106" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ranges from the fall and wintertime low of 31 % to the summer high of 59 % (Fig. 2a) due to the large contribution from open fires in Europe in summer (Winiger et al., 2016). The model also shows a peak in <inline-formula><mml:math id="M107" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in summer, but the seasonal variation is relatively flat (from 23 % in winter to 27 % in summer). We attribute the discrepancy to two reasons. First, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M108" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values of emissions at the site lack seasonal variations, as shown in Fig. 2a. Second, the coarse resolution does not solve the vortex structure of the low-pressure and frontal systems, which is important for poleward transport of BC (Ma et al., 2014; Sato et al., 2016). At Barrow (Fig. 2b), observed <inline-formula><mml:math id="M109" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values show two peaks in summer (34 %) and winter (37 %), while modeled <inline-formula><mml:math id="M110" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> shows a single strong peak in summer (78 %). In summer, the magnitude and variations of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M111" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in the atmosphere are similar to those of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M112" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in
local emissions, suggesting that the atmospheric <inline-formula><mml:math id="M113" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is largely
determined by local emissions. The 129 % overestimate of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M114" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is largely due to the overestimate of local open burning emissions. In spring, fall and winter, the modeled atmospheric <inline-formula><mml:math id="M115" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values are much larger than the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M116" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> of local emissions, indicating a large contribution from long-range transport.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F2" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{2}?><label>Figure 2</label><caption><p id="d1e1578">Seasonal variations of observed (light coral bars) and GEOS-Chem-simulated (light blue bars) <inline-formula><mml:math id="M117" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> of BC in the atmosphere at <bold>(a)</bold> Abisko and <bold>(b)</bold> Barrow in the Arctic, <bold>(c)</bold> Bode and <bold>(d)</bold> Lumbini over the Himalayan–Tibetan Plateau, <bold>(e)</bold> Salt Lake City in North America, <bold>(f)</bold> Tokyo
in eastern Asia, and <bold>(g)</bold> MCOH and <bold>(h)</bold> SINH in southern Asia. The white bars are <inline-formula><mml:math id="M118" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values of BC emissions in the model grid (4<inline-formula><mml:math id="M119" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> lat <inline-formula><mml:math id="M120" display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 5<inline-formula><mml:math id="M121" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> lon) of each site. Also shown are the standard deviations (error bars). Site locations are shown in Fig. S3.</p></caption>
            <?xmltex \igopts{width=497.923228pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/19/11545/2019/acp-19-11545-2019-f02.png"/>

          </fig>

      <p id="d1e1660">In contrast to the seasonal cycles of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M122" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> at sites in the Arctic, at
Bode (Fig. 2c) over the Himalayan–Tibetan Plateau, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M123" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values are the
lowest in summer (observation: 17 %) and highest in winter (observation:
42 %; Li et al., 2016). The similar trend is observed at Lumbini (Fig. 2d),
only with smaller amplitude (summer low: 42 %; spring high: 58 %; Li et
al., 2016). The lower <inline-formula><mml:math id="M124" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in summer is because of several reasons.
First, less biofuel is consumed for domestic heating in warmer seasons (Li
et al., 2016). Second, the region is barely affected by open fires. Third,
biomass-sourced BC is removed more efficiently by the frequent precipitation
in summer both over the Himalayan–Tibetan Plateau and over the surrounding
source regions, such as India and eastern Asia (Li et al., 2016). The GEOS-Chem-simulated atmospheric <inline-formula><mml:math id="M125" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values of BC at all sites over the Himalayan–Tibetan
Plateau (results for Bode and Lumbini are shown in Fig. 2c and d, and
the others are not shown) have weak or no seasonal variations. In addition, the
model does not capture the observed increasing trend of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M126" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> along the
Mustang Valley and Langtang Valley. Possible reasons for the discrepancies are many. First, the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M127" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values of local emissions have no
seasonal variations, as shown in Fig. 2c and d. Second, it is
conceivable that the coarse model resolution of global models does not
reproduce the complex topography and transport pathways of BC over the
Himalayan–Tibetan Plateau (He et al., 2014). However, the mean modeled
atmospheric <inline-formula><mml:math id="M128" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> generally agrees with observations (within 60 %), and
the modeled atmospheric <inline-formula><mml:math id="M129" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> generally follows the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M130" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> of local
emissions across the whole plateau. These comparisons suggest that the
atmospheric <inline-formula><mml:math id="M131" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> over the Himalayan–Tibetan Plateau is largely
determined by <inline-formula><mml:math id="M132" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in emissions in the region.</p>
      <p id="d1e1786">At the SLC (North America; Fig. 2e), Tokyo (eastern Asia; Fig. 2f), Maldives Climate Observatory in Hanimaadhoo (MCOH)
and Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology<?pagebreak page11549?> in Sinhagad, India (SINH; southern Asia, Fig. 2g and h), sites, no big differences of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M133" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
among seasons were observed (SLC: 8 %–13 %; Tokyo: 33 %–41 %; MCOH:
52 %–53 %; SINH: 48 %–56 %). However, BC concentrations show strong
seasonal variations at the four sites, with high loadings in winter and low
loadings in summer (Mouteva et al., 2017; Yamamoto et al., 2007; Budhavant
et al., 2015). At SLC, the most significant local sources of PM<inline-formula><mml:math id="M134" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.5</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> particles are mobile emissions, which are relatively stable through the
whole year (Mouteva et al., 2017). The second most important source is
non-mobile sources with solid burning, mostly wood burning, which is not
allowed to be used when air quality forecasts predict an inversion period
(Mouteva et al., 2017). This restriction limits the extra use of solid fuels
in winter, and thus limits their effects on BC concentrations and
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M135" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in the atmosphere. So the higher concentration of BC in winter in
SLC is largely determined by the low boundary-layer height (Mouteva et al.,
2017). The model overestimates <inline-formula><mml:math id="M136" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> at SLC in all seasons by a factor of
2–4 (Fig. 2e). As described in Mouteva et al. (2017), the observations
were in an urban environment with strong influence from local emissions.
However, modeled <inline-formula><mml:math id="M137" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in the atmosphere is much higher than the
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M138" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values of local emissions based on emission inventories in this
study (Sect. 2), suggesting that the modeled atmospheric <inline-formula><mml:math id="M139" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> at the site
is largely affected by the surrounding regions. The misrepresentation of
the source region (local versus regional) is probably one reason for the large
bias of modeled <inline-formula><mml:math id="M140" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> against observations. At the Tokyo site in eastern Asia, the
model reproduces both the magnitude and the seasonal variations of observed
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M141" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. The much lower <inline-formula><mml:math id="M142" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> value in emissions than in the atmosphere
also indicates a regional effect. In southern Asia, GEOS-Chem reproduces the
similar observed high <inline-formula><mml:math id="M143" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values at MOCH (summer: 52 %; winter:
53 %) and SINH (summer: 48; winter: 56 %) within 30 %. However,
reasons for the high <inline-formula><mml:math id="M144" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values at the two sites are different. Since
there are no local emissions at MCOH, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M145" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> at the site is largely
affected by long-range transport. In contrast, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M146" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in the atmosphere
follows <inline-formula><mml:math id="M147" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in local emissions at SINH, suggesting that the atmospheric
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M148" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> at the site is mostly affected by local emissions. At MCOH the high
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M149" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is probably from the large <inline-formula><mml:math id="M150" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in the outflow of Africa, while
at SINH local burning of agricultural crop residues is the major source
(Budhavant et al., 2015).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS2.SSS2">
  <label>4.2.2</label><?xmltex \opttitle{Spatial variation of modeled $f_{\mathrm{bb}}$}?><title>Spatial variation of modeled <inline-formula><mml:math id="M151" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></title>
      <p id="d1e2007">GEOS-Chem suggests that the Southern Hemisphere has a higher contribution
from biomass burning both for BC in surface air (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M152" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">50</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">11</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %) and in
deposition (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M153" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">53</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %, Fig. 3a and b). The high <inline-formula><mml:math id="M154" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values in S America and Australia are largely from active open fires (accounting for
48 % and 81 % of the total biomass burning contributions, respectively),
while in Africa biofuel consumption is the major biomass burning source
(model: <inline-formula><mml:math id="M155" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">64</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">20</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %; Fig. 3c and d). Because of the strong
seasonal variations of open fire emissions, the highest <inline-formula><mml:math id="M156" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values in Africa,
S America, the S Pacific, Australia and the Antarctic usually occur during
September to November (58 %–71 %), and the lowest values are in March–May
(32 %–56 %; Fig. S4).</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F3" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{3}?><label>Figure 3</label><caption><p id="d1e2070">Annual <bold>(a)</bold> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M157" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> of BC in the atmosphere at surface, <bold>(b)</bold> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M158" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> of BC deposition, <bold>(c)</bold> fraction of biofuel emissions and <bold>(d)</bold> fraction of open fire emissions. Data are averaged for 2007–2013. Also shown in panel <bold>(a)</bold>
are regions discussed in the text: the Arctic (1), Canada (2), the US (3), Europe (4), Siberia (5), eastern (E) Asia (6), southern (S) Asia (7), southeastern (SE) Asia (8), Africa (9), S America (10), S Pacific (11), Australia (12) and
the Antarctic (13).</p></caption>
            <?xmltex \igopts{width=341.433071pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/19/11545/2019/acp-19-11545-2019-f03.png"/>

          </fig>

      <?pagebreak page11550?><p id="d1e2117">In the Northern Hemisphere, the largest <inline-formula><mml:math id="M159" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values of both BC in the atmosphere
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M160" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">93</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %) and in deposition (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M161" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">92</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">6</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %) are in northern Congo,
where biomass burning contribution dominates over fossil fuel emissions.
southern Asia also shows large <inline-formula><mml:math id="M162" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values (54 % for BC in air and in deposition)
due to large biofuel consumption. In other regions, such as Europe, Canada,
the US, Siberia and the Arctic, fossil fuel contribution (65 %–80 %) is
much larger than biomass burning. <inline-formula><mml:math id="M163" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values of BC in air and in deposition in
different regions have different seasonal variations (Figs. S4–S5).
Atmospheric <inline-formula><mml:math id="M164" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values in Canada, Siberia, the Arctic and the Antarctic have
the strongest seasonal variations, with a peak in summer (49 %–70 %) because
of the large fraction of open fire emissions (Figs. S6–S7). In the US, southern
Europe, eastern Asia and southern Asia, seasonal variation of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M165" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is
relatively flat, which is also shown by observations at a few sites (Fig. 2).</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS3">
  <label>4.3</label><title>Uncertainty analysis</title>
      <p id="d1e2209">Atmospheric <inline-formula><mml:math id="M166" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is determined not only by emissions (fossil fuel
combustion versus biomass burning) but also by atmospheric processes that
affect the deposition during transport. We investigate the uncertainties
associated with biofuel emissions, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M167" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in fresh emissions, the BC aging rate
and size-resolved scavenging. We used relative change (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M168" display="inline"><mml:mi>r</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>; %) to describe
the change of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M169" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in each experiment (Exp.) relative to the standard
simulation:
            <disp-formula id="Ch1.E2" content-type="numbered"><label>2</label><mml:math id="M170" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mfenced close="]" open="["><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Exp</mml:mi><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mfenced close="]" open="["><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Std</mml:mi><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mfenced open="[" close="]"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Std</mml:mi><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
          <?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?><?xmltex \hack{\noindent}?>where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M171" display="inline"><mml:mi>r</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is the relative change, [<inline-formula><mml:math id="M172" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>]<inline-formula><mml:math id="M173" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Exp</mml:mi><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> is <inline-formula><mml:math id="M174" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in each
experiment and [<inline-formula><mml:math id="M175" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>]<inline-formula><mml:math id="M176" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Std</mml:mi><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> is the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M177" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in the standard simulation
in each region.</p>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS3.SSS1">
  <label>4.3.1</label><title>Uncertainty associated with biofuel emissions</title>
      <p id="d1e2396">Biofuel emission estimates are associated with large uncertainties
(Fernandes et al., 2007). Source apportionment of BC in Europe based on
multi-wavelength aethalometer measurements showed that <inline-formula><mml:math id="M178" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in winter
(24 %–33 %) is much higher than that in summer (2 %–10 %), suggesting that
wood burning for domestic heating increases the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M179" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> value in the
atmosphere in winter significantly (Herich et al., 2011). In addition,
Winiger et al. (2017) analyzed <inline-formula><mml:math id="M180" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> based on carbon isotope measurements
at Tiksi in Russia and suggested that domestic use (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M181" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">60</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> % of
which is from biomass burning) accounted for 35 % of BC at the site,
following transport (38 %). We find that during the cold season, mean
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M182" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values in Europe and the Arctic (most sites are north of
45<inline-formula><mml:math id="M183" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N; Table S1) are underestimated by 68 % and 50 % in the
standard simulation, probably due to the underestimate of domestic heating
in winter. However, in eastern Asia (all sites are south of 45<inline-formula><mml:math id="M184" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N),
mean <inline-formula><mml:math id="M185" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in winter is overestimated by 22 %. Thus, we doubled biofuel
emissions from domestic heating north of 45<inline-formula><mml:math id="M186" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N during cold seasons
in Experiment A (Exp. A) to investigate the uncertainty associated with
biofuel<?pagebreak page11551?> emissions. It is conceivable that the largest effects occur in the
northern four regions, including Europe, Siberia, Canada and the Arctic. As
a result, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M187" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values increase by <inline-formula><mml:math id="M188" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> % in Europe,
Siberia and the Arctic and by 15 % in Canada in winter, which is larger than those
in spring and fall (4 %–13 %; Fig. 4). Consequently, the low bias of
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M189" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in Europe is reduced from <inline-formula><mml:math id="M190" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">63</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> % to <inline-formula><mml:math id="M191" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">54</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %. This improvement
suggests that the biofuel emissions at high latitudes in the Northern
Hemisphere are probably too low in current bottom-up BC emission
inventories, supporting previous estimates (Herich et al., 2011).</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F4" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{4}?><label>Figure 4</label><caption><p id="d1e2547">GEOS-Chem-simulated fractional change (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M192" display="inline"><mml:mi>r</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) to atmospheric <inline-formula><mml:math id="M193" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> relative to the standard simulation, as a result of doubled biofuel emissions north of 45<inline-formula><mml:math id="M194" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N (Exp. A), 70 % of hydrophilic BC in freshly emitted biomass burning BC-containing particles (Exp. B), 4 h
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M195" display="inline"><mml:mi>e</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-folding aging time of BC in biomass burning plumes and linear aging rate of 1 % in fossil fuel plumes (Exp. C), TOMAS microphysical aging and
scavenging (Exp. D), and finer horizontal model resolution (2<inline-formula><mml:math id="M196" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> lat <inline-formula><mml:math id="M197" display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 2.5<inline-formula><mml:math id="M198" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> lon; Exp. E), <inline-formula><mml:math id="M199" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mo>[</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mo>]</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Exp</mml:mi><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mo>[</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mo>]</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Std</mml:mi><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mo>[</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mo>]</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Std</mml:mi><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, which varies with regions (see region
definition in Fig. 3a) and seasons (<bold>a</bold>: March–May – MAM; <bold>b</bold>: June–August – JJA; <bold>c</bold>: September–November – SON; <bold>d</bold>: December–February – DJF),
averaged for 2007–2013. See details of the standard simulation and the
uncertainty experiments in the text.</p></caption>
            <?xmltex \igopts{width=497.923228pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/19/11545/2019/acp-19-11545-2019-f04.png"/>

          </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS3.SSS2">
  <label>4.3.2</label><title>Uncertainty associated with hygroscopicity of BC in freshly emitted
biomass burning plumes</title>
      <p id="d1e2701">Recent measurements find that in freshly emitted fossil fuel plumes, the
fraction of thickly coated hydrophilic BC is <inline-formula><mml:math id="M200" display="inline"><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 10 % (Moteki
et al., 2007; Schwarz et al., 2008; Shiraiwa et al., 2007), while in biomass
burning plumes the fraction reaches up to 70 % (Schwarz et al., 2008;
Akagi et al., 2012). The higher hygroscopicity of BC in freshly emitted
biomass burning plumes enhances the subsequent wet scavenging rate and
thereby reduces <inline-formula><mml:math id="M201" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in the atmosphere. In the standard simulation, we
assume that 20 % of freshly emitted BC particles are hydrophilic. We
investigate the effects of the initial hygroscopicity of BC in fresh
emissions on atmospheric <inline-formula><mml:math id="M202" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> of BC in Exp. B by assuming that 70 % of
freshly emitted BC particles from biomass burning are thickly coated and
hydrophilic. The resulting fraction of hydrophilic BC in biomass burning
plumes in the 12 regions increases by 0 %–20 % (varying with seasons and
regions), lowering <inline-formula><mml:math id="M203" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in the atmosphere by up to 11 % in Canada in
summer. The largest reduction of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M204" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> shows in June–August (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M205" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">7</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %
averaged for all regions; Fig. 4), when open fires are frequent and active
globally (Giglio et al., 2013; van der Werf et al., 2010). During this time,
the largest reductions are in Canada (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M206" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">11</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %) and Siberia (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M207" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %), where
the fraction of hydrophilic BC in biomass burning plumes increases by a
large fraction (11 %–13 %). In the S Pacific, the reduction of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M208" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is
large (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M209" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %) as well because large precipitation (28 kg m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M210" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> month<inline-formula><mml:math id="M211" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) over this region removes more biomass burning BC particles in
the outflow of S America. During September–November, the relative
reduction of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M212" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in the Northern Hemisphere (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M213" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">6</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %) is much
larger than that in the Southern Hemisphere (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M214" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %) because <inline-formula><mml:math id="M215" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values in the Southern Hemisphere are too large (Fig. S5). The changes of
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M216" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values in other seasons in all regions are marginal.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS3.SSS3">
  <label>4.3.3</label><title>Uncertainty associated with BC aging time</title>
      <p id="d1e2893">Mixing organic and inorganic particles with larger hygroscopicity, BC
particles become more hydrophilic during the aging process (Bond et al., 2013).
It is assumed that BC particles are converted from hydrophobic to
hydrophilic with an <inline-formula><mml:math id="M217" display="inline"><mml:mi>e</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-folding time of 1.15 d after emission in the
standard simulation (Park et al., 2005). However, observations showed that
the fraction of thickly coated hydrophilic BC in urban fossil fuel plumes
increases linearly with plume age (0.5 % h<inline-formula><mml:math id="M218" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>–2.3 % h<inline-formula><mml:math id="M219" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, Moteki et al.,
2007; Shiraiwa et al., 2007; Subramanian et al., 2010; McMeeking et al.,
2011), while BC aging follows a logarithmic trend with an <inline-formula><mml:math id="M220" display="inline"><mml:mi>e</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-folding time of 4 h in biomass burning plumes (Akagi et al., 2012). The aging rates differ
among plumes because of different BC sizes, co-emitted hygroscopic materials
and oxidation capacities of the plumes (Bond et al., 2013). Thus, in Exp. C,
we assume that fossil fuel combustion generated BC ages linearly with a rate of
1 % h<inline-formula><mml:math id="M221" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, while BC from biomass burning plumes ages with an
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M222" display="inline"><mml:mi>e</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-folding time of 4 h. This means that the fossil fuel plumes age slower
than the standard simulation and are scavenged slower, while the biomass
burning plumes age much faster and are removed from the atmosphere faster in
precipitation. This aging scheme leads to a 0 %–24 % increase in the fraction
of hydrophilic BC in the atmosphere, which reduces <inline-formula><mml:math id="M223" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> by up to
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M224" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">14</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %. The largest reduction of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M225" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is in the S Pacific in fall (MAM)
and summer (DJF) in the Southern Hemisphere, followed by the Antarctic
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M226" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">12</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %) during MAM and the Arctic (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M227" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">11</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %) during SON. The reduction of
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M228" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is larger in remote regions and smaller in source regions
because it takes time for the different aging rates in fossil fuel and
biomass burning plumes to affect the hygroscopicities of BC in the two
plumes and the subsequent aging rates.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS3.SSS4">
  <label>4.3.4</label><title>Uncertainty associated with size-resolved scavenging</title>
      <p id="d1e3027">BC particles emitted from biomass burning plumes are usually larger in size
and thicker in coating thickness (Schwarz et al., 2008; Sahu et al., 2012),
suggesting an easier removal from the atmosphere. For example, observations
(Schwarz et al., 2008; Sahu et al., 2012) showed that the mass median
diameter of BC particles in biomass burning plumes is 193 nm with a coating
thickness of 65 nm, while in fossil fuel plumes, the mass median diameter
and coating thickness are 175 and 20 nm. In addition, because of the
different coating materials, hygroscopicities of BC-containing particles in
the two kinds of plumes are different as well. The coating materials of BC
in urban plumes are dominated by sulfate and followed by nitrate and primary
and secondary organics (Shiraiwa et al., 2007), while in biomass burning
plumes, the major coating materials are organics (Sahu et al., 2012). For
ambient air, characteristic <inline-formula><mml:math id="M229" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">κ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> values of organics and inorganics are
0.1 (0.01–0.5) and 0.7 (0.5–1.4; Petters and Kreidenweis, 2007; Gunthe et
al., 2011, and references therein). Higher hygroscopicity of BC in fossil
fuel plumes suggests that they are easier to activate and serve as cloud condensation nuclei (CCNs)
compared to BC particles in biomass burning plumes. The higher
hygroscopicity and smaller size of BC particles in fossil fuel plumes have
the opposite effect on their removal rate. Thus, we investigate the total
effects of size-resolved scavenging in Exp. D; we use<?pagebreak page11552?> the TOMAS microphysics
scheme to process the aging and wet scavenging of BC with different sizes
from fossil fuel combustion and biomass burning. The mass median diameters
of fossil fuel and biomass burning BC particles are assumed to be 160 and
200 nm, respectively. Size-resolved coagulation, condensation, nucleation
and cloud processing are implemented. Coating materials included are
sulfate, nitrate, sea-salt, organics and mineral dust. The size-resolved
aging and scavenging scheme leads to a larger increase in the fraction of
hydrophilic BC in fossil fuel plumes (by 16 %; 0 %–31 %, varying with
regions) than in biomass burning plumes (by 12 %; 0 %–23 %). This
increase in both fossil fuel and biomass burning plumes suggests that BC
particles are removed faster in the size-resolved simulation than in the
standard simulation with a bulk removal parameterization. The larger
increase in the fraction of hydrophilic BC in fossil fuel plumes means that
BC in fossil fuel plumes is removed faster than that in biomass burning
plumes in the size-resolved simulation. This is probably because the total
effect of higher hygroscopicity of coating materials and smaller size of BC
in fossil fuel plumes enhances their removal. Thus atmospheric
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M230" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> increases in most regions during MAM (by 1 %–14 %), SON (by
0 %–7 %) and DJF (by 1 %–12 %). The most noticeable characteristic is
that the increase in <inline-formula><mml:math id="M231" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in the Northern Hemisphere is larger than that in
the Southern Hemisphere due to the large fraction of fossil fuel emissions in
the Northern Hemisphere.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS3.SSS5">
  <label>4.3.5</label><title>Uncertainty associated with model resolution</title>
      <p id="d1e3067">Finer model resolution is capable of reproducing small-scale meteorological
conditions, which is critical to BC transport (Sato et al., 2016). We use
horizontal resolution of 4<inline-formula><mml:math id="M232" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> lat <inline-formula><mml:math id="M233" display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 5<inline-formula><mml:math id="M234" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> lon in the
standard simulation and Exps. A–D because the size-resolved microphysical
scheme TOMAS in Exp. D is computationally expensive. We investigate the
uncertainty associated with model resolution in Exp. E by using a finer
horizontal resolution of 2<inline-formula><mml:math id="M235" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> lat <inline-formula><mml:math id="M236" display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 2.5<inline-formula><mml:math id="M237" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> lon
(Fig. 4). We find that, relative to the standard simulation, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M238" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in Exp. E changes by <inline-formula><mml:math id="M239" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %–5 % in the 13 regions in all seasons. In most
regions, the absolute change is smaller than or equal to the change in Exp. A–D, except in mid-latitude and tropical regions in Exp. A. Averaged over the
whole globe, the relative change of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M240" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> to the standard simulation is
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M241" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS3.SSS6">
  <label>4.3.6</label><title>Other uncertainties</title>
      <?pagebreak page11553?><p id="d1e3171">Carbon isotope measurements of BC sources are associated with large
uncertainties. The thermal-optical protocol used for the carbon isotope
measurements of BC produces <inline-formula><mml:math id="M242" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> % difference of observed
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M243" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values (Zhang et al., 2012), which is equal to or larger than the
uncertainties of modeled <inline-formula><mml:math id="M244" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> associated with biofuel emissions north of
45<inline-formula><mml:math id="M245" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N, the aging rate and wet scavenging discussed in Sect. 4.3.1–4.3.4. The comparison of the two sets of data in Sect. 4.1 and 4.2 is
within a similar uncertainty range. In addition, we do not have carbon isotope
measurements in the Southern Hemisphere to constrain the model results. Our
analysis in this study is based only on model results.</p>
      <p id="d1e3215">In addition to the biofuel emissions discussed in Sect. 4.3.1, open fire
emissions, particularly in the boreal regions, are associated with large
uncertainties (Randerson et al., 2012). Konovalov et al. (2018) found that
open burning emissions of Siberian fires during May to September from GFED4
is possibly underestimated by a factor of 2, constrained by satellite
observations of the aerosol absorption optical depth and the aerosol
extinction optical depth. However, we find that during the same season, mean
atmospheric <inline-formula><mml:math id="M246" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> at Tiksi in Russia is overestimated by 88 %,
indicating that open burning emissions in this region from GFED4 are
possibly overestimated. This contradiction suggests that further studies are
needed to better constrain the open burning emissions in boreal regions. In
addition, the global fossil fuel (Bond et al., 2007) and biofuel emission
inventory (Fernandes et al., 2007) used in this study are for the year 2000, and
the emissions in Asia (Li et al., 2017) are for the year 2010. We estimated the
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M247" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> from 2007 to 2013 using these constant inventories and varying open
burning emissions from GFED4. The lack of inter-annual variations of BC
fossil fuel and biofuel emissions also produces uncertainties, but it is
difficult to quantify based on current knowledge.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5" sec-type="conclusions">
  <label>5</label><title>Conclusions</title>
      <p id="d1e3250">This study sought to understand the relative contribution of fossil fuel
combustion and biomass burning to global BC. We used GEOS-Chem (v11-01) driven by MERRA2 assimilated meteorological fields to simulate BC
concentration from fossil fuel and biomass burning. The source apportionment
results were expressed as the fraction of BC from biomass burning
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M248" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>). Simulated <inline-formula><mml:math id="M249" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> was validated against carbon isotope
measurements of BC in the atmosphere at 65 stations across the Northern
Hemisphere and for 11 snow samples over the Himalayan–Tibetan Plateau. We also
investigated the uncertainties of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M250" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> associated with biofuel emissions,
the fraction of hydrophilic BC in fresh emissions, aging time and size-resolved
scavenging.</p>
      <p id="d1e3286">The model reproduced the mean observed atmospheric <inline-formula><mml:math id="M251" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in various
regions and in snow over the Himalayan–Tibetan Plateau within a factor of
2. Generally, values of atmospheric <inline-formula><mml:math id="M252" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> were larger in remote regions
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M253" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">33</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">14</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> % in the Arctic, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M254" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">39</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">17</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> % over the
Himalayan–Tibetan Plateau and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M255" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">36</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">16</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> % in southern Asia) than those in
urban regions (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M256" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> % in North America), indicating a larger
contribution from biofuel and open burning sources in rural, developing and
remote regions. <inline-formula><mml:math id="M257" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> was higher in summer (59 %–78 %, varying with regions)
than in winter (28 %–32 %, varying with regions) in the Arctic, while it was
higher in winter (42 %–58 %, varying with regions) and lower in summer
(16 %–42 %, varying with regions) over the Himalayan–Tibetan Plateau. The
simulated amplitudes of the seasonal variations were much smaller in the two
regions. The seasonal variation was observed to be relatively flat in North
America, eastern and southern Asia. The simulated monthly mean <inline-formula><mml:math id="M258" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values in these
regions agree with observations by <inline-formula><mml:math id="M259" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">45</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %–275 %. The Southern Hemisphere had
a higher atmospheric <inline-formula><mml:math id="M260" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> than the Northern Hemisphere (SH: <inline-formula><mml:math id="M261" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">50</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">11</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %; NH: <inline-formula><mml:math id="M262" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">35</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">14</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %) due to the large fraction of open burning
emissions in S America and Australia and large fraction of biofuel
consumption in Africa. In the Northern Hemisphere, the highest <inline-formula><mml:math id="M263" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> was
in S Asia (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M264" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">54</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %), followed by E Asia (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M265" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">41</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %), due
to large biofuel consumption. In other regions, such as Europe, Canada, the
US, Siberia and the Arctic, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M266" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values are small (20 %–35 %, varying with
regions).</p>
      <p id="d1e3474">Simulated <inline-formula><mml:math id="M267" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> was associated with uncertainties from all processes,
including emissions, aging and deposition processes. We found that doubled
biofuel emissions used for domestic heating north of 45<inline-formula><mml:math id="M268" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N
resulted in a <inline-formula><mml:math id="M269" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> % increase in <inline-formula><mml:math id="M270" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in Europe, Siberia
and the Arctic and a 15 % increase in Canada in winter. This increase
reduced the discrepancy of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M271" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> against observations from <inline-formula><mml:math id="M272" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">63</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> % to
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M273" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">54</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> % in Europe, suggesting that the biofuel emissions at high latitudes
were underestimated by the bottom-up emission inventories. Using a higher
fraction of hydrophilic BC in fresh biomass burning plumes (uncertainty
simulation: 70 %, standard simulation: 20 %) resulted in a reduction of
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M274" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in summer by <inline-formula><mml:math id="M275" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> % to <inline-formula><mml:math id="M276" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">11</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %, with the largest reduction in Canada and
Siberia, where open fires were frequent. In the standard simulation, it was
assumed that BC in both fossil fuel and biomass burning plumes aged
following an <inline-formula><mml:math id="M277" display="inline"><mml:mi>e</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-folding time of 1.15 d. In the uncertainty simulation, we
used a 4 h <inline-formula><mml:math id="M278" display="inline"><mml:mi>e</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-folding lifetime for BC in biomass burning plumes and a
linear aging rate of 1 % for BC in fossil fuel plumes. This led to a
reduction of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M279" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> of up to <inline-formula><mml:math id="M280" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">14</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> % in the atmosphere. The largest reduction
was in the S Pacific in fall (MAM) and summer (DJF) in the Southern Hemisphere.
The reductions in the Antarctic (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M281" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">12</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %) and the Arctic (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M282" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">11</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %) were also
large in fall, when there were large open fires in the Southern Hemisphere,
and at high latitudes in the Northern Hemisphere. The size-resolved aging and
scavenging scheme led to a larger increase in the fraction of hydrophilic BC in
fossil fuel plumes (by 16 %; 0 %–31 %) than in biomass burning plumes
(by 12 %; 0 %–23 %). Thus atmospheric <inline-formula><mml:math id="M283" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> increased in most regions
during MAM (by 1 %–14 %), SON (by 0 %–7 %) and DJF (by 1 %–12 %). Using
finer model resolution produced <inline-formula><mml:math id="M284" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %–5 % relative change of atmospheric
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M285" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in the various regions, equal to or smaller than the change caused by
atmospheric processes.</p>
      <?pagebreak page11554?><p id="d1e3670">This study showed that local emissions had a larger effect on atmospheric
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M286" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> than other atmospheric processes. As discussed in Sect. 1, most
previous studies compared measured atmospheric <inline-formula><mml:math id="M287" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> directly with
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M288" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in local emissions. We confirmed this assumption but suggested
considering the uncertainties associated with aging and scavenging (up to
14 %). In addition, a <inline-formula><mml:math id="M289" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> % difference of isotope-based
measurements of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M290" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bb</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> caused by the thermal-optical protocols in measuring
BC should also be considered.</p>
      <p id="d1e3728">This study has important implications for estimating radiative forcing of
global BC. Previous studies (Healy et al., 2015, and references therein)
showed that BC-containing particles in open fires had no optical lensing
effect. Considering the large contribution from biomass burning in S Asia,
SE Asia and in the Southern Hemisphere as suggested in this study, the
inclusion of lensing-related absorption enhancement in climate models for BC
from both fossil fuel combustion and biomass burning sources may lead to an
overestimate of the radiative forcing of global BC. Measurements of the
optical properties of BC particles from different sources (fossil fuel
versus biomass burning) in different regions are needed to better constrain
its radiative forcing.</p>
</sec>

      
      </body>
    <back><notes notes-type="dataavailability"><title>Data availability</title>

      <p id="d1e3735">The data used in this study are available from the corresponding author upon request (shxwang@tsinghua.edu.cn).</p>
  </notes><app-group>
        <supplementary-material position="anchor"><p id="d1e3738">The supplement related to this article is available online at: <inline-supplementary-material xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-11545-2019-supplement" xlink:title="pdf">https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-11545-2019-supplement</inline-supplementary-material>.</p></supplementary-material>
        </app-group><notes notes-type="authorcontribution"><title>Author contributions</title>

      <p id="d1e3747">LQ and SW designed the experiments. LQ performed the
simulations. LQ prepared the paper, with contributions from SW.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="competinginterests"><title>Competing interests</title>

      <p id="d1e3753">The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.</p>
  </notes><ack><title>Acknowledgements</title><p id="d1e3759">This work was supported by Key Projects of National Key Research and
Development Program of the Ministry of Science and Technology of China
(2017YFC0213005), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (21625701
and 21806088), and the National Research Program for Key Issues in Air Pollution
Control (DQGG0301 and DQGG0303). We thank the two reviewers for their
constructive comments on the paper.</p></ack><notes notes-type="financialsupport"><title>Financial support</title>

      <p id="d1e3764">This research has been supported by Key Projects of National Key Research and Development Program of the Ministry
of Science and Technology of China (grant no. 2017YFC0213005),
the National Natural Science Foundation of China (grant nos. 21625701 and 21806088), and the National Research Program for Key Issues in Air Pollution Control  (grant nos. DQGG0301 and DQGG0303).</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="reviewstatement"><title>Review statement</title>

      <p id="d1e3770">This paper was edited by Aijun Ding and reviewed by two anonymous referees.</p>
  </notes><ref-list>
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    <!--<article-title-html>Fossil fuel combustion and biomass burning sources of global black carbon from GEOS-Chem simulation and carbon isotope measurements</article-title-html>
<abstract-html><p>We identify sources (fossil fuel combustion versus
biomass burning) of black carbon (BC) in the atmosphere and in deposition
using a global 3-D chemical transport model GEOS-Chem. We validate the
simulated sources against carbon isotope measurements of BC around the globe and find that the model reproduces mean biomass burning contribution
(<i>f</i><sub>bb</sub>; %) in various regions within a factor of 2 (except in Europe, where <i>f</i><sub>bb</sub> is underestimated by 63&thinsp;%). GEOS-Chem shows that contribution from biomass burning in the Northern Hemisphere (<i>f</i><sub>bb</sub>: 35±14&thinsp;%) is much less than that in the Southern Hemisphere (50±11&thinsp;%). The largest atmospheric <i>f</i><sub>bb</sub> is in Africa (64±20&thinsp;%). Comparable contributions from biomass burning and fossil fuel combustion are found in southern (S) Asia (53±10&thinsp;%), southeastern (SE) Asia (53±11&thinsp;%), S America (47±14&thinsp;%), the S Pacific (47±7&thinsp;%), Australia (53±14&thinsp;%) and the Antarctic (51±2&thinsp;%). <i>f</i><sub>bb</sub> is relatively small in eastern Asia (40±13&thinsp;%), Siberia (35±8&thinsp;%), the Arctic (33±6&thinsp;%), Canada (31±7&thinsp;%), the US (25±4&thinsp;%) and Europe (19±7&thinsp;%). Both observations and model results suggest that atmospheric <i>f</i><sub>bb</sub> is higher in summer (59&thinsp;%–78&thinsp;%, varying with sub-regions) than in winter (28&thinsp;%–32&thinsp;%) in the Arctic, while it is higher in winter (42&thinsp;%–58&thinsp;%) and lower in summer (16&thinsp;%–42&thinsp;%) over the Himalayan–Tibetan Plateau. The seasonal variations of Atmospheric<i>f</i><sub>bb</sub> are relatively flat in North America, Europe and Asia. We conducted four experiments to investigate the uncertainties associated with biofuel emissions, hygroscopicity of BC in fresh emissions, the aging rate and size-resolved wet scavenging. We find that doubling biofuel emissions for domestic heating north of 45°&thinsp;N increases <i>f</i><sub>bb</sub> values in Europe in winter by  ∼ 30&thinsp;%, reducing the discrepancy between observed and modeled atmospheric <i>f</i><sub>bb</sub> from −63&thinsp;% to −54&thinsp;%. The remaining large negative discrepancy between model and observations suggests that the biofuel emissions are probably still underestimated at high latitudes. Increasing the fraction of thickly coated hydrophilic BC from 20&thinsp;% to 70&thinsp;% in fresh biomass burning plumes increases the fraction of hydrophilic BC in biomass burning plumes by 0&thinsp;%–20&thinsp;% (varying with seasons and regions) and thereby reduces atmospheric <i>f</i><sub>bb</sub> by up to 11&thinsp;%. Faster aging (4&thinsp;h <i>e</i>-folding time versus 1.15&thinsp;d <i>e</i>-folding time) of BC in biomass burning plumes reduces atmospheric <i>f</i><sub>bb</sub> by 7&thinsp;% (1&thinsp;%–14&thinsp;%, varying with seasons and regions), with the largest reduction in remote regions, such as the Arctic, the Antarctic and the S Pacific. Using size-resolved scavenging accelerates scavenging of BC particles in both fossil fuel and biomass burning plumes, with a faster scavenging of BC in fossil fuel plumes. Thus, atmospheric <i>f</i><sub>bb</sub> increases in most regions by 1&thinsp;%–14&thinsp;%. Overall, atmospheric <i>f</i><sub>bb</sub> is determined mainly by <i>f</i><sub>bb</sub> in
emissions and, to a lesser extent, by atmospheric processes, such as aging and scavenging. This confirms the assumption that <i>f</i><sub>bb</sub> in local emissions determines atmospheric <i>f</i><sub>bb</sub> in previous studies, which compared measured atmospheric <i>f</i><sub>bb</sub> directly with local <i>f</i><sub>bb</sub> in bottom-up emission inventories.</p></abstract-html>
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