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  <front>
    <journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">ACP</journal-id><journal-title-group>
    <journal-title>Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics</journal-title>
    <abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">ACP</abbrev-journal-title><abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Atmos. Chem. Phys.</abbrev-journal-title>
  </journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">1680-7324</issn><publisher>
    <publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
    <publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
  </publisher></journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/acp-18-963-2018</article-id><title-group><article-title>Origin of elemental carbon in snow from western Siberia and northwestern European Russia during winter–spring 2014,<?xmltex \hack{\break}?> 2015 and 2016</article-title><alt-title>Origin of elemental carbon in snow</alt-title>
      </title-group><?xmltex \runningtitle{Origin of elemental carbon in snow}?><?xmltex \runningauthor{N.~Evangeliou et al.}?>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Evangeliou</surname><given-names>Nikolaos</given-names></name>
          <email>nikolaos.evangeliou@nilu.no</email>
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7196-1018</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff2">
          <name><surname>Shevchenko</surname><given-names>Vladimir P.</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Yttri</surname><given-names>Karl Espen</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Eckhardt</surname><given-names>Sabine</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6958-5375</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Sollum</surname><given-names>Espen</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff3 aff4 aff5">
          <name><surname>Pokrovsky</surname><given-names>Oleg S.</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff6">
          <name><surname>Kobelev</surname><given-names>Vasily O.</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6535-4780</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff2">
          <name><surname>Korobov</surname><given-names>Vladimir B.</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff6">
          <name><surname>Lobanov</surname><given-names>Andrey A.</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff2">
          <name><surname>Starodymova</surname><given-names>Dina P.</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff7">
          <name><surname>Vorobiev</surname><given-names>Sergey N.</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Thompson</surname><given-names>Rona L.</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9485-7176</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Stohl</surname><given-names>Andreas</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2524-5755</ext-link></contrib>
        <aff id="aff1"><label>1</label><institution>NILU – Norwegian Institute for Air Research, Department of Atmospheric and Climate Research (ATMOS),<?xmltex \hack{\break}?> Kjeller, Norway</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2"><label>2</label><institution>Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, Russian Academy of Sciences, Nakhimovsky prospect 36, 117997 Moscow, Russia</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff3"><label>3</label><institution>Geosciences Environment Toulouse, UMR 5563 CNRS, University of Toulouse, 14 Avenue Edouard Belin,<?xmltex \hack{\break}?> 31400 Toulouse, France</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff4"><label>4</label><institution>N. Laverov Federal Center for Integrated Arctic Research, Russian Academy of Science, Sadovaya street, 3,<?xmltex \hack{\break}?> 163000, Arkhangelsk, Russia</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff5"><label>5</label><institution>BIO-GEO-CLIM Laboratory, Tomsk State University, Tomsk, Russia</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff6"><label>6</label><institution>Arctic Research Center of the Yamalo-Nenets autonomous district, Vos'moy proezd, NZIA building, 629730, Nadym, Yamalo-Nenets autonomous district, Russia</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff7"><label>7</label><institution>BIO-GEO-CLIM Laboratory, Tomsk State University, 36 Prospect Lenina, 634050, Tomsk, Russia</institution>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <author-notes><corresp id="corr1">Nikolaos Evangeliou (nikolaos.evangeliou@nilu.no)</corresp></author-notes><pub-date><day>25</day><month>January</month><year>2018</year></pub-date>
      
      <volume>18</volume>
      <issue>2</issue>
      <fpage>963</fpage><lpage>977</lpage>
      <history>
        <date date-type="received"><day>9</day><month>June</month><year>2017</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-request"><day>13</day><month>June</month><year>2017</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-recd"><day>18</day><month>December</month><year>2017</year></date>
           <date date-type="accepted"><day>21</day><month>December</month><year>2017</year></date>
      </history>
      <permissions>
        
        
      <license license-type="open-access"><license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/18/963/2018/acp-18-963-2018.html">This article is available from https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/18/963/2018/acp-18-963-2018.html</self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/18/963/2018/acp-18-963-2018.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/18/963/2018/acp-18-963-2018.pdf</self-uri>
      <abstract>
    <p id="d1e239">Short-lived climate forcers have been proven important both for the climate
and human health. In particular, black carbon (BC) is an important climate
forcer both as an aerosol and when deposited on snow and ice surface because
of its strong light absorption. This paper presents measurements of elemental
carbon (EC; a measurement-based definition of BC) in snow collected from
western Siberia and northwestern European Russia during 2014, 2015 and 2016.
The Russian Arctic is of great interest to the scientific community due to
the large uncertainty of emission sources there. We have determined the major
contributing sources of BC in snow in western Siberia and northwestern
European Russia using a Lagrangian atmospheric transport model. For the first
time, we use a recently developed feature that calculates deposition in
backward (so-called retroplume) simulations allowing estimation of the
specific locations of sources that contribute to the deposited mass.</p>
    <p id="d1e242">EC concentrations in snow from western Siberia and northwestern European
Russia were highly variable depending on the sampling location. Modelled BC
and measured EC were moderately correlated (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M1" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.53</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>–0.83) and a systematic
region-specific model underestimation was found. The model underestimated
observations by 42 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M2" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> (RMSE <inline-formula><mml:math id="M3" display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 49 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M4" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) in 2014, 48 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M5" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> (RMSE <inline-formula><mml:math id="M6" display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 37 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M7" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>)
in 2015 and 27 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M8" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> (RMSE <inline-formula><mml:math id="M9" display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 43 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M10" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) in 2016. For EC
sampled in northwestern European Russia the underestimation by the model was
smaller (fractional bias, FB <inline-formula><mml:math id="M11" display="inline"><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M12" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>100 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M13" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>). In this region, the
major sources were transportation activities and domestic combustion in
Finland. When sampling shifted to western Siberia, the model underestimation
was more significant (FB <inline-formula><mml:math id="M14" display="inline"><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M15" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>100 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M16" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>). There, the sources included
emissions from gas flaring as a major contributor to snow BC. The accuracy
of the model calculations was also evaluated using two independent datasets
of BC measurements in snow covering the entire Arctic. The model
underestimated BC concentrations in snow especially for samples collected in
springtime.</p>
  </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
<body>
      

<?pagebreak page964?><sec id="Ch1.S1" sec-type="intro">
  <title>Introduction</title>
      <p id="d1e401">Black carbon (BC) is the strongest light-absorbing component of atmospheric
aerosol and is formed by the incomplete combustion of fossil fuels,
biofuels and biomass
(Bond
et al., 2013). It is emitted directly into the atmosphere in the form of
fine particles. BC is a major component of “soot”, a complex
light-absorbing mixture that also contains organic carbon (OC)
(Bond et al., 2004). Combustion
sources emitting BC include open biomass burning (BB; forest, savanna,
agricultural burning), residential biofuel combustion, diesel engines for
transportation or industrial use, industrial processes and power generation,
or residential coal combustion
(Liu
et al., 2011; Wang et al., 2011).</p>
      <p id="d1e404">BC is important on a global perspective because of its impacts on human
health and on climate. As a component of fine particulate matter (PM<inline-formula><mml:math id="M17" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.5</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>), it
is associated with negative health impacts, including premature mortality
(Lelieveld et al., 2015; Turner
et al., 2005). It absorbs solar radiation, has a significant impact on cloud
formation and, when deposited on ice and snow, it accelerates ice melting
(Hansen and Nazarenko, 2004). BC has a lifetime that
can be as long as 9–16 days
(Bond
et al., 2013). After its emission, BC can travel over long distances
(Forster
et al., 2001; Stohl et al., 2006) and reach remote areas such as the Arctic.
Arctic land areas are covered by snow in winter and spring, while the Arctic
Ocean is partly covered by ice. Sea ice has a much higher albedo (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M18" display="inline"><mml:mo lspace="0mm">≈</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.5–0.7) compared to the surrounding ocean (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M19" display="inline"><mml:mo lspace="0mm">≈</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.06); thus, presence
of sea ice reduces the heat uptake of the ocean. Snow has an even higher
albedo than sea ice and can reflect as much as 90 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M20" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> of the incoming solar
radiation (Brandt et
al., 2005; Singh and Haritashya, 2011). BC deposited on ice lowers its
albedo, increases heat uptake by sea ice, accelerates its melting, and
therefore decreases surface albedo both directly and indirectly.</p>
      <p id="d1e437">Hegg et al. (2009) reported that snow in the
Arctic often contains BC at concentrations between 1 and 30 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M21" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>,
which can cause a snow albedo reduction of 1–3 % in fresh snow and
another 3–9 % as snow ages and BC becomes more concentrated near the
surface (Clarke and Noone, 1985). This capacity of snow to reflect solar radiation insulates the sea ice, maintains cold
temperatures and delays ice melt in summertime. After the snow begins to
melt and because shallow melt ponds have an albedo of approximately 0.2 to
0.4, the surface albedo drops to about 0.75 or even lower (0.15) as melt
ponds grow and deepen (Singh and Haritashya,
2011). These changes have been found to be important for the global energy
balance
(Flanner
et al., 2007; Hansen and Nazarenko, 2004) and, if enhanced by BC, contribute
to climate warming (Warren and Wiscombe, 1980).</p>
      <p id="d1e457">Although BC in Arctic snow and ice has been found to be important for the
Earth's climate
(Flanner
et al., 2007; Sand et al., 2015), its large-scale temporal and spatial
distributions and exact origin are still poorly quantified
(AMAP, 2015). Efforts to determine the concentrations of BC in
snow across the Arctic were made by Clarke and
Noone (1985),
Doherty
et al. (2010, 2013),
Forsström
et al. (2013), Ingvander et al. (2013), and McConnell et al. (2007). This
paper presents measurements of elemental carbon (EC) concentrations in snow
samples collected in spring 2014, 2015 and 2016 on the Kindo peninsula
(White Sea, Karelia), around Arkhangelsk in northwestern European Russia,
and in western Siberia. In the latter area, gas flaring emissions are very
important. Flaring emissions are highly uncertain because both activity data
and emission factors are largely lacking. According to the Global Gas
Flaring Reduction Partnership (GGFR) (<uri>http://www.worldbank.org/en/programs/gasflaringreduction</uri>), nearly 50 billion m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M22" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>
of gas is flared in Russia annually. Russian flaring
emissions in the Nenets and Komi regions and in Khanty-Mansiysk are the major
sources in western Siberia and northwestern European Russia. It has been
reported that gas flaring in Russia contributes about 42 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M23" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> to the annual
average BC surface concentrations in the Arctic
(Stohl et al., 2013).</p>
      <p id="d1e480">The use of the terms EC and BC has been the topic of several scientific
papers
(for
example, Andreae and Gelencsér, 2006; Bond et al., 2013; Petzold et al.,
2013). Petzold et al. (2013) defined
BC as a substance with five properties (see Table 1 in
Petzold et al., 2013), for which no
single measurement instrument exists that is sensitive to all of them at the
same time. Consequently, BC cannot uniquely be measured, although some of
its properties, such as the absorption coefficient <inline-formula><mml:math id="M24" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ap</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and
the EC concentration, both commonly measured in
atmospheric monitoring networks across the world, can be measured. Hence, the term BC should
be used qualitatively.</p>
      <p id="d1e494">In the present study, EC concentrations on ice from three campaigns measured
with thermal–optical analysis (TOA) (see Sect. 2.2) are compared to simulation results from the
Lagrangian particle dispersion model (LPDM) FLEXPART. The model is used here
for the first time to quantify the sources contributing to BC in snow in
Russia, adopting a special feature that was developed recently.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F1" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e499"><bold>(a)</bold> Total emissions of BC (anthropogenic emissions from ECLIPSE
(Klimont et al., 2017) and
biomass burning from GFED4;
Giglio et al.,
2013). The blue shade shows the area of interest that is enlarged on the
right. <bold>(b)</bold> Comparison of modelled BC concentrations in snow with measured EC
concentrations. <bold>(c)</bold> Spatial distribution of EC in snow measured with thermal–optical analysis (TOA) of filtered snow samples from northwestern European
Russia and western Siberia in springtime 2014, 2015 and 2016.</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=\textwidth}?><graphic xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/18/963/2018/acp-18-963-2018-f01.pdf"/>

      </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2">
  <title>Methodology</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS1">
  <title>Collection and storage of snow samples</title>
      <p id="d1e527">Fresh snow samples were collected along a north–south transect between
Tomsk and the Yamal coast in February–March 2014 (23 samples,
Table S1 in the Supplement), while in March 2015 sample collection
took place on the Kindo peninsula and near the port of Arkhangelsk in the
White Sea (11 samples, Table S1). Finally, in
February–May 2016 samples were collected on the Kindo peninsula, in
Arkhangelsk, and between Tomsk and Yamal (20 samples,
Table S1). These areas have been reported to
receive pollution from both urban and gas flaring sources
(Stohl et al., 2013).
For example, the gas flaring sources located in Yamal and<?pagebreak page965?> Khanty-Mansiysk
(Russia) are in the main pathway along which sub-Arctic air masses travel to
the Arctic
(Stohl
et al., 2006). All sampling points were located more than 500 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M25" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">m</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> away from
roads to minimize the direct influence from local traffic emissions.
Information about sample collection such as the location of sampling, the
amount of snow collected and the depth at which snow was sampled is reported
in Table S1, and the sample locations are plotted
in Fig. 1.</p>
      <p id="d1e537">Sampling was performed using a metal-free technique using pre-cleaned
plastic shovels and single-use vinyl gloves. Samples were stored in
polyethylene bags that had been thoroughly washed with 1 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M26" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">M</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M27" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">HCl</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and rinsed
with abundant deionized ultrapure water in the laboratory prior to their
use. After returning the samples to the laboratory, the snow was allowed to
melt at ambient temperature (18–20 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M28" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) and immediately filtered
through quartz 47 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M29" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">mm</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> fibre filters (2500QAT-UP Pall for samples collected in
2014 and QM-A Whatman for samples collected in 2015 and 2016). The filters
were dried at 60–70 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M30" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, wrapped in aluminum foil and stored in a
refrigerator. Quartz fibre filter collection efficiency of BC in liquid
samples can be less than 100 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M31" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>
(Hadley et al., 2010; Ogren et al.,
1983). To what extent this has affected the levels reported in the present
study is unknown. Thus, the results presented should be regarded as
conservative estimates based on the assumption that some BC might have been
lost during filtration.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2">
  <title>Elemental carbon measurements with thermal–optical analysis (TOA)</title>
      <p id="d1e600">EC content of the filters was measured at NILU's
laboratories with TOA, using the Sunset laboratory
OC–EC instrument operated according to the EUSAAR-2 protocol
(Cavalli et al., 2010). A 1.5 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M32" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">cm</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
punch was cut from the filtered snow samples for the analysis. Transmission
was used for OC charring correction. Performance of the
OC–EC instruments is regularly inter-compared as part of the joint European
Monitoring and Evaluation Programme (EMEP) Aerosols, Clouds, and Trace gases
Research InfraStructure Network (ACTRIS) quality assurance and quality
control effort (Cavalli et al., 2016).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS3">
  <?xmltex \opttitle{Measurements of carbonate
({$\protect\chem{CO_{{3}}^{{2-}}}$})--carbon
with thermal--optical analysis (TOA) following thermal-oxidative pretreatment}?><title>Measurements of carbonate
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M33" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">CO</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>)–carbon
with thermal–optical analysis (TOA) following thermal-oxidative pretreatment</title>
      <p id="d1e637">The content of carbonate (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M34" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">CO</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>)–carbon on the filters was
measured with TOA, following thermal-oxidative pretreatment based on the
approach described by
Jankowski et al. (2008). A punch of 1.5 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M35" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">cm</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> from each filter was
heated at 450 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M36" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for 2 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M37" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">h</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> in ambient air to remove OC and EC but not
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M38" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">CO</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>–carbon. The filter punch was subjected to TOA immediately
(30 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M39" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) after thermal-oxidative pretreatment. The split time (between OC
and EC) obtained for each filter punch used to determine the filter samples'
content of EC (Sect. 2.2) was also used to
apportion <inline-formula><mml:math id="M40" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">CO</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>–carbon to OC and/or EC. The influence of
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M41" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">CO</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>–carbon evolving as EC was accounted for using the following
equation:
            <disp-formula id="Ch1.Ex1"><mml:math id="M42" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>EC</mml:mtext><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">CO</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">corr</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mtext>EC</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mtext>EC</mml:mtext><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">CO</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
          where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M43" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>EC</mml:mtext><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">CO</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">corr</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is EC corrected for
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M44" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">CO</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>–carbon that evolved as EC during TOA, EC is elemental
carbon and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M45" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mtext>EC</mml:mtext><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">CO</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is <inline-formula><mml:math id="M46" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">CO</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>–carbon that evolved as
EC during TOA. Applying this correction, EC values were 5–22 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M47" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> lower (see
Supplement).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS4">
  <title>Emissions and modelling of black carbon</title>
      <p id="d1e874">The concentrations of BC in snow were simulated with the LPDM FLEXPART
version 10 (Stohl et al., 1998,
2005). The model was driven with operational meteorological wind fields
retrieved from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
(ECMWF) of 3 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M48" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">h</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> (for the years 2014 and<?pagebreak page966?> 2015) and 1 h (for the year 2016)
temporal resolution. The ECMWF data have 137 vertical levels and a
horizontal resolution of 1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M49" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M50" display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M51" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> for the 2014
and 2015 simulations and 0.5<inline-formula><mml:math id="M52" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M53" display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.5<inline-formula><mml:math id="M54" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> for the
2016 simulation.</p>
      <p id="d1e935">The simulations were conducted in backwards time (retroplume) mode,
using a new feature of FLEXPART to reconstruct wet and dry deposition with
backward simulations (Eckhardt et al., 2017). This
new feature is an extension of the traditional possibility of simulating
atmospheric concentrations backward in time
(Seibert and Frank,
2004; Stohl et al., 2003). It is computationally efficient because it
requires only two single-tracer transport simulations (one for wet
deposition, one for dry deposition) for each measurement sample. To
reconstruct wet deposition amounts of BC, computational particles were
released at altitudes of 0 to 20 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M55" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> at the locations where snow samples were
taken, whereas to reconstruct dry deposition, particles were released
between the surface and 30 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M56" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">m</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> at these locations. All released particles
represent a unity deposition amount, which was converted immediately (i.e.
upon release of a particle) to atmospheric concentrations using the
deposition intensity as characterized by either dry deposition velocity or
scavenging rate (for further details, see Eckhardt
et al., 2017). The concentrations were subsequently treated as in normal
“concentration mode” backward tracking
(Seibert and Frank, 2004) to establish
source–receptor relationships between the emissions and deposition amounts.
The termination time of the particle release was the time at which the snow
sample was collected, whereas the beginning time was set as the time when
the ECMWF precipitation at the sampling site, accumulated backward in time,
was equal to the water equivalent of the snow sample, up to the specified
sampling depth.</p>
      <p id="d1e952">The model output consists of a spatially gridded sensitivity of the BC
deposition at the sampling location (receptor) to the BC emissions,
equivalent to the backwards time mode output for concentrations
(Seibert and Frank,
2004; Stohl et al., 2003). BC deposition at the snow sampling point can be
computed (in mass per unit area) by multiplying the emission sensitivity in
the lowest model layer (the footprint emission sensitivity) with gridded
emissions from a BC emission inventory and integrating over the grid. The
deposited BC can be easily converted to BC snow concentration by taking into
account the water equivalent depth of the snow from ECMWF (in millimetres). In the
present study, the ECLIPSE (Evaluating the Climate and Air Quality Impacts
of Short-Lived Pollutants) version 5 emission inventory
(Klimont
et al., 2017; Stohl et al., 2015) was used (<uri>http://www.iiasa.ac.at/web/home/research/researchPrograms/air/Global_emissions.html</uri>).
The total emissions of BC from ECLIPSE in the areas of
study are shown in Fig. 1a.</p>
      <p id="d1e958">BC was assumed to have a density of 2 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M57" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">m</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in our simulations and a
logarithmic size distribution with an aerodynamic mean diameter of 0.25 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M58" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">m</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and a logarithmic standard deviation of 0.3. Each computational particle
released in FLEXPART represents an aerosol population with a lognormal size
distribution (see Stohl et al., 2005). Assumed aerodynamic mean diameter and
logarithmic standard deviation are used by FLEXPART's dry deposition scheme,
which is based on the resistance analogy (Slinn, 1982), and
they are consistent with those used in other transport models
(see
Evangeliou et al., 2016; Shiraiwa et al., 2008). Below-cloud scavenging was
determined based on the precipitation rate taken from ECMWF. The in-cloud
scavenging was based on cloud liquid water and ice content, precipitation
rate, and cloud depth from ECMWF
(Grythe et al., 2017).
The FLEXPART user manual (available from <uri>http://www.flexpart.eu</uri>) provides more information. All modelling results
for this sampling campaign can be viewed interactively at the URL <uri>http://niflheim.nilu.no/NikolaosPY/SnowBC_141516.py</uri>.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3">
  <title>Results</title>
      <p id="d1e1001">In this section the main results of EC concentrations in snow are presented,
in contrast to simulated BC concentrations with FLEXPART. The statistical
dependence of the datasets is assessed using the Pearson product-moment
correlation coefficient. For further validation, the fractional bias (FB) of
each individual sample was calculated together with the mean fractional bias
(MFB) for observed and modelled concentrations as follows:

              <disp-formula specific-use="align"><mml:math id="M59" display="block"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" class="stylechange"/></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" class="stylechange"/><mml:mtext>FB</mml:mtext><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">m</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">m</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">100</mml:mn><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi><mml:mtext>  and </mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" class="stylechange"/></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle class="stylechange" displaystyle="true"/><mml:mtext>MFB</mml:mtext><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">m</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">m</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">100</mml:mn><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>

          where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M60" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">m</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M61" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are the modelled BC and measured EC
concentrations and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M62" display="inline"><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is the total number of observations for each year. FB
is a useful model performance indicator because it is symmetric and gives
equal weight to underestimations and overestimations (it takes values
between <inline-formula><mml:math id="M63" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>200 and 200 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M64" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>). It is used here to show the locations where
modelled BC concentrations in snow over- or underestimate observations.
Finally, for the same reasons, the RMSE, which is frequently used to measure differences between values
predicted by a model and the values actually observed, was also
computed (see
Figs. S1–S3 in the Supplement).</p>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS1">
  <title>Elemental carbon concentrations measured in snow</title>
      <?pagebreak page967?><p id="d1e1187">The spatial distribution of EC measured in snow samples from northwestern
European Russia and western Siberia is shown in
Fig. 1c for each of the campaigns (2014, 2015
and 2016) and is also summarized in Table S2.
There was large spatial variability in the distribution of EC in snow in
2014 ranging from 3 to 219 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M65" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, with a median (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M66" display="inline"><mml:mo lspace="0mm">±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> interquartile
range) of 23 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M67" display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 49 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M68" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. The highest EC concentrations in 2014
were observed in western Siberia near Tomsk (147 to 219 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M69" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>).
FLEXPART emission sensitivities for these samples showed that the air was
coming from the north and the east (see in <uri>http://niflheim.nilu.no/NikolaosPY/SnowBC_141516.py</uri>). This
explains the high concentrations of EC, as most of the anthropogenic BC
sources are located in these regions. In the rest of the snow samples for
2014, EC concentrations between 4 and 170 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M70" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> were observed. High
concentrations were observed near the Ob River coinciding with air masses
arriving mainly from Europe. During the 2015 field campaign, EC
concentrations were the highest near Arkhangelsk (175 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M71" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>), for
which FLEXPART showed that the air was coming from nearby areas (<uri>http://niflheim.nilu.no/NikolaosPY/SnowBC_141516.py</uri>).
Therefore, it is likely that the samples were affected by direct emissions
from the city or the port of Arkhangelsk. During the same campaign, snow
samples collected on the Kindo peninsula (on the White Sea coast) showed
high variability in EC concentrations (range: 46–152 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M72" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>,
median <inline-formula><mml:math id="M73" display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 70 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M74" display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 34 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M75" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>). According to FLEXPART emission
sensitivities, air masses were transported to Kindo peninsula from central
and southern Europe driven by an anticyclone over Scandinavia (<uri>http://niflheim.nilu.no/NikolaosPY/SnowBC_141516.py</uri>).
Finally, for the snow samples collected outside Arkhangelsk, on the Kindo
peninsula, and close to the Yamal Peninsula in western Siberia in 2016, EC
concentrations ranged between 7 and 161 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M76" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (median <inline-formula><mml:math id="M77" display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 40 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M78" display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 47 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M79" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>).
Outside Arkhangelsk, EC concentrations varied widely from 31 to
161 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M80" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> with a median concentration in this region of 61 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M81" display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 43 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M82" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.
This is far below the 175 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M83" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> observed in 2015,
although there was only one sample collected in that year. On the Kindo
peninsula, EC was relatively constant in 2016, ranging between 25 and 35 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M84" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
(median <inline-formula><mml:math id="M85" display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 28 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M86" display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 4 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M87" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>), which is more than 60 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M88" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>
lower compared with the 2015 values (median <inline-formula><mml:math id="M89" display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 70 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M90" display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 34 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M91" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>).
Finally, between Tomsk and Yamal, EC concentration was highly variable (7–119 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M92" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>)
due to the different EC sources affecting snow (median <inline-formula><mml:math id="M93" display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 50 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M94" display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 34 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M95" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>). For instance, it is expected that gas flaring
affects snow close to Yamal, while snow collected in the south (Tomsk) is
likely influenced by sources in Europe or local urban emissions.
Nevertheless, the highest concentrations (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M96" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">100</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M97" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) were
observed north of 68<inline-formula><mml:math id="M98" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N, on the Yamal Peninsula.</p>
      <p id="d1e1628">We compared the measured EC concentrations in the snow samples with those
calculated by FLEXPART. For this, the emission sensitivities were multiplied
with the total emission fluxes from ECLIPSE (Sect. 2.4). A scatter plot of modelled and measured snow
concentrations is presented in Fig. 1b. The
results show a good correlation between modelled BC and measured EC
concentrations for the 2015 and 2016 campaigns (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M99" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2015</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.83</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M100" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2016</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.68</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M101" display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> value <inline-formula><mml:math id="M102" display="inline"><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.05), but weaker correlation for 2014
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M103" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2014</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.53</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M104" display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> value <inline-formula><mml:math id="M105" display="inline"><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.05). The FB for individual samples is shown in
Fig. S1. The MFB of the model for the 2014 snow
measurements was <inline-formula><mml:math id="M106" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>42 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M107" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, which shows that the model underestimated
observations. In total, the model underestimated concentrations by 30–168 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M108" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>
for 17 out of 23 samples, whereas for the rest (six samples) FB
values ranged between 20 and 148 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M109" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> (median MFB: <inline-formula><mml:math id="M110" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>56 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M111" display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 72 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M112" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) (Fig. S1). In 2015, the model
underestimated observations by 48 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M113" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> (median MFB: <inline-formula><mml:math id="M114" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>56 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M115" display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 29 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M116" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>)
for 11 out of 12 samples (FB between <inline-formula><mml:math id="M117" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>101 and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M118" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>7 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M119" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, while one value
was found to be 12 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M120" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>). For 2016, FB values of the simulated concentrations
of BC in snow showed another set of underestimation (median: <inline-formula><mml:math id="M121" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>13 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M122" display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 60 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M123" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>)
between 0.3 and 198 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M124" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> for 12 out of 19 samples. For the
remaining seven samples, the model predicted higher concentrations compared
with observations (10 to 75 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M125" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) (Fig. S1).
RMSE values were estimated to be quite high, between 37 and 49 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M126" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>,
due to the large variation in the observed EC concentrations.</p>
      <p id="d1e1865">The levels of EC in snow presented here are relatively high compared to
previously reported concentrations in the Arctic. Apart from
Aamaas et al. (2011), who measured maximum
EC concentration in snow close to the airport of Svalbard of more than 1000 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M127" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>,
most of the reported levels of EC in the relevant literature
are close to our findings. For instance,
Ruppel et al. (2014) found
that EC concentrations have been increasing up to 103 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M128" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> since 1970
in Svalbard. McConnell et al. (2007) reported that the BC concentrations measured at the D4 ice-core site
in Greenland were 10 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M129" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, at maximum, which most likely originated
from BB in the conifer-rich boreal forest of the eastern and
northern United States and Canada.
Forsström et al. (2013)
reported concentrations as high as 88 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M130" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in Scandinavia and lower
ones at higher latitudes (11–14 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M131" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in Svalbard, 7–42 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M132" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
in the Fram Strait and 9 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M133" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in Barrow).
Svensson et al. (2013) collected snow samples
from Tyresta National Park and Pallas-Yllästunturi National Park in
Sweden. Tyresta is a relatively polluted site located circa 25 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M134" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> from the
city centre of Stockholm with a population of about 2 million people.
Pallas-Yllästunturi National Park is located in Arctic Finland and a clean site
with no major city influencing the local and regional air. The concentration
of EC in Pallas-Yllästunturi was between 0 and 140 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M135" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, while in
Tyresta the BC concentrations were up to more than 7 times higher (53–810 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M136" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>). Furthermore,
Doherty et al. (2010)
in the most complete dataset for the Arctic snow and ice BC reported highly
variable concentrations (up to 800 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M137" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) for 5 consecutive years
(2005–2009). Finally, in the most recent dataset for snow BC,
Macdonald et al. (2017) reported BC
concentrations ranging from 0.3 to 15 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M138" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for the
samples collected near the Alert observatory (see Sect. 4.1).</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F2" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e2066">Contribution from the various emission categories considered in
the ECLIPSE and GFED inventories to simulated BC concentrations in snow in
<bold>(a)</bold> 2014, <bold>(b)</bold> 2015 and <bold>(c)</bold> 2016 in western Siberia and northwestern European
Russia. BB stands for biomass burning, WST for waste burning, IND for
industrial combustion and processing, TRA for surface transportation, ENE
for emissions from energy conversion and extraction, DOM for residential
and commercial combustion, and FLR for gas flaring. Bars show the relative
source contribution (0–100 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M139" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, right axis) and are sorted, from left to
right, from the northernmost to the southernmost measurement location
(coordinates are reported on the bottom as longitude/latitude). Measured EC
concentrations in snow are reported with open circles, whereas modelled BC
is shown with open rectangles (left axis).</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=341.433071pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/18/963/2018/acp-18-963-2018-f02.pdf"/>

        </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F3" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e2094"><bold>(a)</bold> FLEXPART emission sensitivity: contribution from
<bold>(b)</bold> transportation (TRA), <bold>(c)</bold> residential and commercial combustion (DOM), and
<bold>(d)</bold> gas flaring (FLR) to the maximum measured concentration of snow EC
recorded along the transect from Tomsk to the Yamal Peninsula in western Siberia
during the campaign of 2014.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=341.433071pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/18/963/2018/acp-18-963-2018-f03.png"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS2">
  <title>Sources and origin of BC</title>
      <p id="d1e2120">We further analysed the model output in order to calculate relevant
contributions from various BC source types to BC concentrations in snow (for
method description, see Sect. 2.4). ECLIPSE
emissions include waste burning (WST), industrial combustion and processing
(IND), surface transportation (TRA), power plants, energy conversion, and
extraction (ENE), residential and commercial<?pagebreak page968?> combustion (DOM), and gas flaring
(FLR) while BB emissions were adopted from the Global
Fire Emissions Database, version 4 (GFEDv4.1)
(Giglio et al.,
2013). The results are depicted in Fig. 2 for the
sampling campaigns of 2014, 2015 and 2016 in western Siberia and
northwestern European Russia, sorted from the northernmost to the
southernmost sampling location.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F4" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e2125"><bold>(a)</bold> FLEXPART emission sensitivity: <bold>(b)</bold> contribution from
transportation (TRA), <bold>(c)</bold> residential and commercial combustion (DOM), and
<bold>(d)</bold> gas flaring (FLR) to the maximum measured concentration of snow EC
recorded in northwestern European Russia (Kindo peninsula and Arkhangelsk
region) during the campaign of 2015.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=341.433071pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/18/963/2018/acp-18-963-2018-f04.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e2145">In 2014, TRA contributed about 18 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M140" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, on average, to the simulated BC in
snow, DOM 28 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M141" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and FLR 44 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M142" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, whereas ENE and IND were less significant.
Maxima of TRA, DOM and FLR contributions were observed at a latitude of
about 65<inline-formula><mml:math id="M143" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N, where measured EC and modelled BC were similar. An
example of the contribution from the aforementioned dominant sources to snow
BC concentrations for the highest measured EC concentration in snow is shown
in Fig. 3. The transport sector includes
emissions from all land-based transport of goods, animals and persons. It is
more significant in southern Russia and close to the borders with Kazakhstan
and Mongolia, where a large number of major Russian cities (e.g. Moscow,
Kazan, Samara, Yekaterinburg, Tomsk, Novosibirsk, Krasnoyarsk) are located and connected with each other by federal
highways. Residential and commercial combustion includes emissions from
combustion in households and public and commercial buildings. Therefore, it
is expected to be high for areas that consist of large population centres
(Fig. 3). FLR emissions were found to contribute
the most in this example, with a total concentration from this sector of 19.7 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M144" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
(compared with 12.6 and 16.5 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M145" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in TRA and DOM,
respectively) (Fig. 3).</p>
      <p id="d1e2213">On the Kindo peninsula and in Arkhangelsk, where snow sampling took place in
2015, the main contributions to snow BC were from DOM (47 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M146" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>), TRA
(30 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M147" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>), BB (7 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M148" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) and FLR (6 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M149" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) (see Fig. 2).
Similar to EC measurements in snow, simulated BC was also higher than
in 2014, as the sampling sites were located closer to strong sources in
Europe (Kindo) and close to a populated area (Arkhangelsk) with a strong
regional impact. The highest concentration of EC was observed on the Kindo
peninsula (33.13<inline-formula><mml:math id="M150" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> E–66.53<inline-formula><mml:math id="M151" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N).
Figure 4 shows the spatial distribution of
emissions that contributed to simulated snow BC at the sampling point where
the highest BC concentration was observed. In this case, TRA and DOM
emissions from Europe mostly affected snow on the Kindo peninsula whereas
FLR emissions were very low due to the long distance from the sampling
point. Emissions from an unusual late winter–early spring episode of BB at
the borders of Belarus, Ukraine and Russia also affected BC concentrations
in snow in northwestern European Russia (Fig. 4).
The importance of episodic BB releases in Russia, the miscalculation of
satellite-retrieved BB emissions and their impact on Arctic concentrations
in early spring has been explained<?pagebreak page969?> by
Evangeliou
et al. (2016) and Hao et al. (2016). BB emissions, originating mostly from eastern Europe, contributed
about 19.4 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M152" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> to the snow concentration at the receptor point
(Fig. 4). TRA and DOM emissions were the dominant
sources for this sampling point, contributing 33.6 and 47.2 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M153" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>,
respectively (Fig. 4).</p>
      <p id="d1e2298">Finally, in 2016, when samples were collected at the Kindo peninsula, in
Arkhangelsk and in Yamal, DOM, FLR and TRA contributed, on average, 31,
29 and 27 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M154" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, respectively (see Fig. 2c).
Similar to the measured EC concentrations in snow, simulated concentrations
of BC in 2016 were lower than those in 2015, on average. The highest
measured EC concentration was observed in the Khanty-Mansiysk region
(72.94<inline-formula><mml:math id="M155" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> E–65.36<inline-formula><mml:math id="M156" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N), which mirrors the simulated BC
concentration at the same point very well. The much higher contribution from
TRA at this sampling point (38.6 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M157" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>)
(Fig. 5b) is attributed to emissions from
southern Russia (e.g. Tomsk), where all the main cities in Russia are
located. Another large fraction of TRA emissions comes from central and
eastern Europe (see also in <uri>http://niflheim.nilu.no/NikolaosPY/SnowBC_141516.py</uri>).
Similar to TRA, emissions from DOM were mostly transported to Khanty-Mansiysk
from central and eastern Europe, as well as from Turkey, contributing 36.6 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M158" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (Fig. 5). As previously mentioned, the
sampling point where the highest EC concentration was measured is located
inside the largest gas flaring region of Russia. In addition, the
corresponding emission sensitivity maps showed that the air was coming from
the south passing directly through this high-emission region, making FLR
emissions the highest contributing source (88.8 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M159" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>)
(Fig. 5).</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F5" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e2383"><bold>(a)</bold> FLEXPART emission sensitivity and <bold>(b)</bold> contribution from
transportation (TRA), <bold>(c)</bold> residential and commercial combustion (DOM), and
<bold>(d)</bold> gas flaring (FLR) to the maximum measured concentration of snow EC
recorded on the Kindo peninsula, in Arkhangelsk and on the Yamal Peninsula (northwestern
European Russia, western Siberia) during the campaign of 2016.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=341.433071pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/18/963/2018/acp-18-963-2018-f05.png"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4">
  <title>Discussion</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS1">
  <title>Cross validation of modelled BC concentrations with public
datasets</title>
      <p id="d1e2415">In this section, we present an effort to further validate our model
calculations of BC concentrations in snow. For this purpose, BC
concentrations in snow that were adopted from
Doherty et al. (2010)
were compared with modelled BC concentrations in snow that were simulated
with FLEXPART as described in Sect. 2.4. Samples
were collected in Alaska, Canada, Greenland, Svalbard, Norway, Russia and
the Arctic Ocean during 2005–2009, on tundra, glaciers, ice caps, sea ice,
frozen lakes and in boreal forests. Snow was collected mostly in spring,
when the combination of snow cover and exposure to sunlight was at a maximum
and before the snow had started to melt. Samples of melting snow collected
in the summer of 2008 from Greenland and from Tromsø,<?pagebreak page970?> Norway, were
removed from the study, as we have no knowledge about the depth of the melt
layer and effects of the percolation of meltwater through the snowpack. All
samples were collected away from local sources of pollution. In many
locations (Canadian Arctic, Russia, Greenland, Tromsø and Ny-Ålesund)
samples were gathered at different depths throughout the snowpack, giving
information on the seasonal evolution of BC concentrations as the snow
accumulated (and/or sublimated) throughout the winter. In these cases only
the surface BC was taken into account. The snow was melted and filtered, and
the filters were analysed in a specially designed spectrophotometer system
to infer the concentration of BC (for more information see
Doherty et al., 2010).
In contrast to our findings for the origin of snow BC in the Russian Arctic,
a source apportionment analysis performed on the 2008 and 2009 measurements
(Hegg et al., 2010) from this dataset
showed that the dominant source of BC in the Arctic snow pack was BB. Specifically in eastern Siberia biomass burning of crops and
grasslands contributed more snow BC in high latitudes than boreal forest
fires, in contrast to the Canadian Arctic.</p>
      <p id="d1e2418">A comparison of modelled (FLEXPART) and measured BC concentrations
(Doherty et al., 2010)
in snow is depicted in Fig. S2. The model
captures snow BC concentrations relatively well in most of the Arctic
regions except for the Canadian Arctic, where the modelled concentrations of
snow in 2007 were significantly higher. Samples from the same region in
other years showed moderate agreement with modelled values. Similar to our
finding for the new Russian measurements, the model underestimated
deposition by 51 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M160" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>. The RMSE was estimated to be 52 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M161" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, which is
acceptable considering that the variation in snow concentrations in the
dataset ranged from 0.3 to 783 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M162" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. The highest measured
concentrations of snow BC were observed in Russia, where the model showed a
good spatial agreement. For instance, the highest values were obtained in
western Siberia, close to the gas flaring regions of the Nenets and Komi oblasts,
as well as in southeastern and northeastern Russia, where air masses were
arriving from high-emitting sources in southeastern Asia. Lower biases in
modelled BC concentrations were observed in northern Siberia with the
exception of a few samples at the coasts of the Kara Sea and northeastern
Siberia. Furthermore, biased BC concentrations were also observed in
Greenland and northern Canada. In western Siberia, BC in snow presented in
Doherty et al. (2010)
between 2005 and 2009 was 80 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M163" display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 63 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M164" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> on average, which is very
close to the average value of measured EC obtained from the sampling
2014–2016 campaigns (50 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M165" display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 46 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M166" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>).</p>
      <p id="d1e2511">From the total number of samples presented in
Doherty et al. (2010)
that were used here for validation, only six<?pagebreak page971?> were collected on the Yamal
Peninsula similar to some of the data presented in the current paper. The
rest were collected in the Nenets and Komi regions and in eastern Russia and cannot be
directly compared with snow EC measurements from the 2014–2016 campaigns.
BC concentrations on the Yamal Peninsula in 2007 ranged from 4.1 to 17.6 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M167" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
(median <inline-formula><mml:math id="M168" display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> interquartile: 10.3 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M169" display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 4.9 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M170" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>). In the
same region, we report EC concentrations to be more than double, varying
between 6.6 and 55 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M171" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (median <inline-formula><mml:math id="M172" display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> interquartile: 27.8 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M173" display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 25.5 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M174" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>),
whereas there were two samples that showed EC concentrations
of more than 100 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M175" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. As mentioned in Sect. 2.1, the sampling of snow for the EC analysis took
place more than 500 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M176" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">m</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> away from roads to minimize influence from traffic
emissions, while a similar statement is also found in the
Doherty et al. (2010)
data. It is not clear whether the observed discrepancy arises as a
measurement artefact (even though every effort has been taken in both papers
to follow a robust protocol) or from real spatio-temporal variation.</p>
      <p id="d1e2635">Modelled BC concentrations simulated with FLEXPART were also compared with
snow BC concentrations from samples collected at the Global Atmosphere Watch
observatory at Alert, Nunavut, from 14 September 2014 to 1 June 2015 and they are available in
Macdonald et al. (2017). Alert is a remote
outpost in the Canadian high Arctic, at the northern coast of Ellesmere
Island (82<inline-formula><mml:math id="M177" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>27<inline-formula><mml:math id="M178" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N, 62<inline-formula><mml:math id="M179" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>30<inline-formula><mml:math id="M180" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> W), with a small transient
population of research and military personnel. Sampling details and
analytical methodologies used for the analysis of BC can be found in
Macdonald et al. (2017). BC concentrations in
FLEXPART were simulated as in all previous analyses described in this paper
(see Sect. 2.4). Time series of simulated and
measured BC are depicted in Fig. S3 for the
whole sampling period. As before, a correlation coefficient (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M181" display="inline"><mml:mi>R</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) of 0.63
indicates that our model captures the temporal variation in the measured BC
in snow. The RMSE was estimated to be almost 63 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M182" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, a relatively
high value. The MFB of 47 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M183" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> indicates a strong overestimation of snow
concentrations, although in many samples the opposite was also observed
(Fig. S3). This is in contrast to the previous
datasets discussed, for which the model underestimated measurements.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F6" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e2709"><bold>(a)</bold>–<bold>(d)</bold> Footprint emission sensitivity and major contribution from
all sources, TRA and DOM averaged for the samples that showed overestimated
modelled concentrations of BC in 2007
(Doherty et al., 2010).
<bold>(e)</bold>–<bold>(h)</bold> Footprint emission sensitivity and contribution from all sources, TRA
and FLR for the samples collected in Alert
(Macdonald et al., 2017) that the model overestimated
by more than 3 times.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=\textwidth}?><graphic xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/18/963/2018/acp-18-963-2018-f06.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e2729">Further analysis was carried out to adequately understand the origin of the
aforementioned overestimations in the Canadian Arctic in both datasets
(Doherty
et al., 2010; Macdonald et al., 2017), as they are shown to be rather
systematic. For this reason, we have calculated the average footprint
emission sensitivities and the average BC contribution from the major
sources in ECLIPSE for the 2007 snow samples in the Canadian Arctic and for
Alert samples. We have chosen these samples because they were 3 or more
times higher than the<?pagebreak page972?> observations and in this way we can locate the
observed overestimations predicted with FLEXPART
(Fig. 6).</p>
      <p id="d1e2732">Regarding the model overestimation for the 2007 samples, the average
footprint emission sensitivity showed that the air was coming from
continental regions of Canada with a smaller contribution from Scandinavia
(Fig. 6). The highest emission sources for these
samples were TRA and DOM, which contributed almost 80 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M184" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> to the snow
concentrations, whereas forest fires were less important at the time of
sampling. Two hot spots were identified, one along the border of Canada
with the US and another, of smaller intensity, in southeastern Asia. A similar
emission sensitivity was obtained for the same area of the Canadian Arctic
in 2009, only slightly shifted to the north; simulated concentrations were in
very good agreement with observations (Fig. S2).
This shows that the model overestimation for the 2007 samples is likely
attributed to an overestimation of TRA and DOM sources in North America in
ECLIPSE for 2007. For the Alert samples, for which the model strongly
overestimated BC, the major sources were TRA and FLR, which contributed
55 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M185" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, and BB, which contributed about 7 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M186" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (22 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M187" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) on average
(Fig. 6). Anthropogenic BC arriving from Europe
and Russia has been previously shown to be important for Alert air pollutant
concentrations (Sharma et al.,
2013). The model overestimation of BC in snow samples at Alert needs further
investigation. It is likely that it originates from anthropogenic emissions
in northwestern America or in Europe because forest fires in Canada and
Russia, although important for Alert
(e.g. Qi
et al., 2017), were not significant in the present comparison.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F7" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e2775"><bold>(a)</bold> Footprint emission sensitivity from FLEXPART averaged for the
sampling points where the model underestimated observations significantly
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M188" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>FB</mml:mtext><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">100</mml:mn><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) and <bold>(b)</bold> less significantly
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M189" display="inline"><mml:mo lspace="0mm">-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>100 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M190" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M191" display="inline"><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> FB <inline-formula><mml:math id="M192" display="inline"><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M193" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>). Black squares show the
locations of active fires detected by MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging
Spectroradiometer) (Giglio et al., 2003).
Brown dots show the location of gas flaring sites from the Global Gas
Flaring Reduction Partnership (GGFR) (<uri>http://www.worldbank.org/en/programs/gasflaringreduction</uri>).</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=341.433071pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/18/963/2018/acp-18-963-2018-f07.png"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS2">
  <title>Model deviation from snow EC measurements and region-specific contribution
of sources</title>
      <p id="d1e2851">It has been shown that measured concentrations of EC in snow in northwestern
European Russia and western Siberia were underestimated in FLEXPART
(Fig. 2). This was confirmed by the calculated
fractional bias (see Sect. 3.2), the spatial
distribution of which is shown in Fig. S1. To
examine whether this underestimation was due to missing emission sources or
errors in modelled transport and deposition, we have calculated the average
footprint emission sensitivity for those sampling points, for which FLEXPART
strongly (FB <inline-formula><mml:math id="M194" display="inline"><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M195" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>100 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M196" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) and slightly (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M197" display="inline"><mml:mo lspace="0mm">-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>100 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M198" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M199" display="inline"><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> FB <inline-formula><mml:math id="M200" display="inline"><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M201" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>)<?pagebreak page973?> underestimated the
observed values. The average footprint emission sensitivities are shown in
Fig. 7 together with the locations of active
fires in the last 2 months before the sample collection. The fire data
were adopted from MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer)
(Giglio et al., 2003) and the gas flaring
facilities from the Global Gas Flaring Reduction Partnership (GGFR)
(<uri>http://www.worldbank.org/en/programs/gasflaringreduction</uri>).</p>
      <p id="d1e2914">When the model strongly underestimated the measured EC (FB <inline-formula><mml:math id="M202" display="inline"><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M203" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>100 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M204" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>), the
average footprint emission sensitivity showed the highest values over the
Yamal Peninsula and the agglomeration of many gas flares in Khanty-Mansiysk
(Fig. 7b). This might confirm the findings of
Huang et al. (2014) that gas flaring
emissions in the ECLIPSE inventory, while very high, are still
underestimated. According to a related study by Huang and Fu
(2016), Russia contributes 57 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M205" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> to the global BC emissions from gas
flaring. Underestimation of modelled atmospheric concentrations compared to
observations from the Barents and Kara seas was recently also reported by
Popovicheva et al. (2017), although the
underestimation was relatively small.</p>
      <p id="d1e2945">When FLEXPART showed a moderate underestimation of EC concentrations in snow
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M206" display="inline"><mml:mo lspace="0mm">-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>100 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M207" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M208" display="inline"><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> FB <inline-formula><mml:math id="M209" display="inline"><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M210" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>), the emission sensitivity was high near Arkhangelsk and
over Scandinavia (Fig. 7). BC emissions in
Scandinavia are considered relatively low in most inventories and contribute
no more than 6.5 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M211" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> to the global emissions in ACCMIP (Aerosol Chemistry
Climate Model Intercomparison Project)
(Lamarque
et al., 2013), 6.2 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M212" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> in EDGARv4.2 (Emission Database for Global
Atmospheric Research) (Olivier et al., 2005),
2.1 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M213" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> in MACCity (Monitoring Atmospheric Composition and Climate and megacity Zoom for the Environment)
(Hollingsworth
et al., 2008; Stein et al., 2012) and 3.3 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M214" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> in ECLIPSE
(Klimont et al., 2017). The
highest emission sensitivity was found over northwestern Russia
(Fig. 7), a region that includes Murmansk.
Pollution levels in Murmansk could be high due to emissions from local
industry, mining, heating and transport (Law and Stohl,
2007). Another potential source region was the Nenets–Komi area and western
Kazakhstan, where a few other flaring facilities are located
(Fig. 7).</p>
      <?pagebreak page974?><p id="d1e3012">Figure 7 shows that the underestimation of observed
EC concentrations in snow strongly depends on the region where samples are
collected. In western Siberia, the underestimation was larger than in
northwestern European Russia. For this reason, we have computed the average
region-specific emission sensitivities and the average region-specific
contribution from the major polluting sources identified in the ECLIPSE dataset.
We distinguish between three regions: northwestern European Russia, western
Siberia (north of 62<inline-formula><mml:math id="M215" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N) and western Siberia (south of 62<inline-formula><mml:math id="M216" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N) (Figs. S4–S6). For the samples
collected in northwestern European Russia (Fig. S4), an average contribution of 21.6 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M217" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> from all sources was
estimated to have originated mainly from TRA (7.7 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M218" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) and DOM (10.4 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M219" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>)
sources in Finland. The contribution from BB and FLR emissions
was insignificant (8 and 6 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M220" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, respectively), whereas the rest of the
ECLIPSE sources were negligible (IND, ENE, WST). For the samples collected
at high latitudes in western Siberia, the average contribution from all
sources was more than 4 times higher (86 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M221" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) than those observed in
northwestern European Russia (Fig. S5). FLR
emissions accounted for 40 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M222" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> of the total contribution, which reflects the
proximity of the sampling site to the main flaring facilities of Russia. The
average contribution from TRA activities in Europe and southeastern Russia
to the northern part of western Siberia was 24 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M223" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>. DOM emissions
in eastern Europe also contributed another 28 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M224" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>. Finally, for the samples
that were collected in the southern part of western Siberia an average
contribution of 47.4 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M225" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> was estimated from all sources included in
ECLIPSE (Fig. S6). The highest contributing
categories were TRA and DOM, whereas FLR appeared to contribute less,
although the sampling site is close to the Khanty-Mansiysk flaring region. This
is attributed to the prevailing winds that forced flaring emissions to a
northernmost direction opposite to the location of the sampling stations
(see Fig. S6).</p>
      <p id="d1e3148">Overall, the region-specific analysis of the sources contributing to
modelled BC in snow showed that the DOM, FLR and/or TRA sources might
explain the model underestimation in the high Arctic. However, in the most
recent assessments of BC of the higher Arctic
(Popovicheva et al., 2017;
Winiger et al., 2017), it was shown that ECLIPSE captures levels of BC quite
well, whereas FLR emissions might have a smaller impact in the central
Siberian Arctic (Tiksi) than previously estimated. Surprisingly, the average
contribution from BB in lower latitudes was extremely low in all western
Siberia (Figs. S5 and S6), despite the fact that
sampling took place in springtime, when BB becomes important.
Evangeliou
et al. (2016) reported that using a different dataset, which is based on the
same approach as GFED but includes updated emission factors for Eurasia,
surface concentrations of BC in the Arctic stations can be substantially
higher. This shows the need for further investigation of BC sources in the
Russian Arctic.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5" sec-type="conclusions">
  <title>Conclusions</title>
      <p id="d1e3159">We have analysed snow samples collected in western Siberia and northwestern
European Russia in 2014, 2015 and 2016 with respect to EC. This region is of
major interest due to its large uncertainty in BC emissions and because it
is located in the main transport route of BC to the Arctic. An effort to
constrain the sources that contribute to measured concentration of BC in
snow was made using the LPDM FLEXPART (version 10).</p>
      <p id="d1e3162">The observed EC levels in snow varied widely within and between regions
(3–219 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M226" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for 2014, 46–175 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M227" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in 2015 and 7–161 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M228" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in 2016) and are in the upper range of previously reported
concentrations of EC and BC in snow in the Arctic region. However, the
observed levels presented here appear typical for western Siberia, which is
subject to high domestic Russian emissions as well as to transport from
distant European ones.</p>
      <p id="d1e3216">The snow BC concentrations predicted by the model are in fair agreement
with EC observations over western Siberia and northwestern European Russia
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M229" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.5</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>–0.8). However, the calculated negative MFB values (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M230" display="inline"><mml:mo lspace="0mm">-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>48 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M231" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> to
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M232" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>27 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M233" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) showed that the model systematically underestimated observations in
Russia. This underestimation strongly depended on the region where the
samples were collected. In northwestern European Russia, the main
contributing sources were TRA and DOM mainly from adjacent regions in
Finland. TRA and DOM contributed twice as much to snow BC sampled at low latitudes
of western Siberia (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M234" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">60</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula><inline-formula><mml:math id="M235" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N) as compared to samples
collected over regions above 60<inline-formula><mml:math id="M236" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N; the majority of these
emissions originated from highly populated centres in central Europe.
Finally, in higher latitudes of western Siberia (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M237" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">60</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula><inline-formula><mml:math id="M238" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N),
snow BC concentrations were further increased mainly due to FLR
emissions from facilities located close to the snow sampling points.</p>
      <p id="d1e3305">The modelled BC concentrations in snow were further investigated using two
independent public measurement datasets that include samples from all over
the Arctic for the period from 2005 to 2009 and from Alert in 2014 and 2015. The
model captured levels of BC fairly well despite the large variation in
measured concentrations. An exception was observed in North America in
spring 2007 and at the Alert observatory in late winter–early spring 2015. In
both cases, the major sources were along the Canadian border with the US and
in western Europe. Considering the fact that similar deviations were not
observed in samples collected in the area during other years, it is likely
that some of the prevailing sources of BC in this region show strong
temporal variability in their emissions, and this is not taken into account
in the ECLIPSE inventory. Previously reported average measurements of BC
concentrations in snow in western Siberia and northwestern European Russia
were 80 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M239" display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 43 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M240" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, which is about 30 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M241" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> higher than the EC
measurements presented here (50 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M242" display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 46 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M243" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ng</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>).</p>
</sec>

      
      </body>
    <back><notes notes-type="dataavailability">

      <p id="d1e3367">All data used for the present publication can be obtained from the
corresponding author upon request.</p>
  </notes><app-group>
        <supplementary-material position="anchor"><p id="d1e3370">The supplement related to this article is available online at: <inline-supplementary-material xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-963-2018-supplement" xlink:title="pdf">https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-963-2018-supplement</inline-supplementary-material>.</p></supplementary-material>
        </app-group><notes notes-type="authorcontribution">

      <p id="d1e3379">NE designed and performed the modelling experiments and wrote
the paper. VPS organized and performed the sampling of EC;
KEY performed all the TOA of the snow samples. SE modified
the FLEXPART model for the calculation of footprint emission sensitivities for
deposited mass. ES wrote an algorithm that computes the starting date
of the FLEXPART releases based on the water equivalent volume from ECMWF. OSP, VOK, VBK, AAL, DPS
and SNV assisted the sampling campaigns in western Siberia and
northwestern European Russia during 2014–2016. RLT and AS
supervised the study and wrote parts of the paper.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="competinginterests">

      <p id="d1e3385">The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.</p>
  </notes><ack><title>Acknowledgements</title><p id="d1e3391">We would like to acknowledge the project entitled “Emissions of
Short-Lived Climate Forcers near and in the Arctic (SLICFONIA)”, which was
funded by the NORRUSS research program of the Research Council of Norway
(project ID: 233642) and the Russian Fund for Basic Research<?pagebreak page975?> (project no. 15-05-08374)
for funding snow sampling in the White Sea catchment area. We
also thank Sergey Belorukov, Andrey Boev, Anton Bulokhov, Victor Drozdov,
Sergey Kirpotin, Ivan Kritzkov, Rinat Manasypov, Ivan Semenyuk and
Alexander Yakovlev for helping during the three expeditions and we thank
Alexander P. Lisitzin for his valuable recommendations. Oleg S. Pokrovsky and
Sergey N. Vorobiev acknowledge support from BIO-GEO-CLIM grant no. 14.B25.31.0001
for sampling in western Siberia. Acknowledgements are also owed to IIASA
(especially Chris Heyes and Zig Klimont) for providing the BC emission
dataset. Computational and storage resources for the FLEXPART simulations
have been provided by NOTUR (NN9419K) and NORSTORE (NS9419K). All plots from
FLEXPART simulations have been included in an interactive website for fast
visualization (<uri>http://niflheim.nilu.no/NikolaosPY/SnowBC_141516.py</uri>). All
results can be accessed upon request to the corresponding author of this
paper.<?xmltex \hack{\newline}?><?xmltex \hack{\newline}?>
Edited by: Rob MacKenzie <?xmltex \hack{\newline}?>
Reviewed by: Olusegun Gabriel Fawole and one<?xmltex \hack{\newline}?> anonymous referee</p></ack><ref-list>
    <title>References</title>

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    <!--<article-title-html>Origin of elemental carbon in snow from western Siberia and northwestern European Russia during winter–spring 2014, 2015 and 2016</article-title-html>
<abstract-html><p>Short-lived climate forcers have been proven important both for the climate
and human health. In particular, black carbon (BC) is an important climate
forcer both as an aerosol and when deposited on snow and ice surface because
of its strong light absorption. This paper presents measurements of elemental
carbon (EC; a measurement-based definition of BC) in snow collected from
western Siberia and northwestern European Russia during 2014, 2015 and 2016.
The Russian Arctic is of great interest to the scientific community due to
the large uncertainty of emission sources there. We have determined the major
contributing sources of BC in snow in western Siberia and northwestern
European Russia using a Lagrangian atmospheric transport model. For the first
time, we use a recently developed feature that calculates deposition in
backward (so-called retroplume) simulations allowing estimation of the
specific locations of sources that contribute to the deposited mass.</p><p>EC concentrations in snow from western Siberia and northwestern European
Russia were highly variable depending on the sampling location. Modelled BC
and measured EC were moderately correlated (<i>R</i> = 0.53–0.83) and a systematic
region-specific model underestimation was found. The model underestimated
observations by 42&thinsp;% (RMSE&thinsp; = &thinsp;49 ng g<sup>−1</sup>) in 2014, 48&thinsp;% (RMSE&thinsp; = &thinsp;37&thinsp;ng g<sup>−1</sup>)
in 2015 and 27&thinsp;% (RMSE&thinsp; = &thinsp;43&thinsp;ng g<sup>−1</sup>) in 2016. For EC
sampled in northwestern European Russia the underestimation by the model was
smaller (fractional bias, FB&thinsp; &gt; &thinsp;−100&thinsp;%). In this region, the
major sources were transportation activities and domestic combustion in
Finland. When sampling shifted to western Siberia, the model underestimation
was more significant (FB&thinsp; &lt; &thinsp;−100&thinsp;%). There, the sources included
emissions from gas flaring as a major contributor to snow BC. The accuracy
of the model calculations was also evaluated using two independent datasets
of BC measurements in snow covering the entire Arctic. The model
underestimated BC concentrations in snow especially for samples collected in
springtime.</p></abstract-html>
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