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  <front>
    <journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">ACP</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">ACP</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Atmos. Chem. Phys.</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">1680-7324</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>

    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/acp-16-1729-2016</article-id><title-group><article-title>What do correlations tell us about anthropogenic–biogenic
interactions and SOA formation in the Sacramento plume<?xmltex \hack{\break}?> during CARES?</article-title>
      </title-group><?xmltex \runningtitle{What do correlations tell us about anthropogenic--biogenic
interactions?}?><?xmltex \runningauthor{L.~Kleinman et al.}?>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Kleinman</surname><given-names>L.</given-names></name>
          <email>kleinman@bnl.gov</email>
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1009-2263</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Kuang</surname><given-names>C.</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Sedlacek</surname><given-names>A.</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9595-3653</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Senum</surname><given-names>G.</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Springston</surname><given-names>S.</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Wang</surname><given-names>J.</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2815-4170</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff2">
          <name><surname>Zhang</surname><given-names>Q.</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5203-8778</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff3">
          <name><surname>Jayne</surname><given-names>J.</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff4">
          <name><surname>Fast</surname><given-names>J.</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff4">
          <name><surname>Hubbe</surname><given-names>J.</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff4">
          <name><surname>Shilling</surname><given-names>J.</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3728-0195</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff4">
          <name><surname>Zaveri</surname><given-names>R.</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9874-8807</ext-link></contrib>
        <aff id="aff1"><label>1</label><institution>Brookhaven National Laboratory, Upton, NY, USA</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2"><label>2</label><institution>University of California at Davis, Davis, CA, USA</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff3"><label>3</label><institution>Aerodyne Research Inc., Billerica, MA, USA</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff4"><label>4</label><institution>Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, USA</institution>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <author-notes><corresp id="corr1">L. Kleinman (kleinman@bnl.gov)</corresp></author-notes><pub-date><day>15</day><month>February</month><year>2016</year></pub-date>
      
      <volume>16</volume>
      <issue>3</issue>
      <fpage>1729</fpage><lpage>1746</lpage>
      <history>
        <date date-type="received"><day>7</day><month>July</month><year>2015</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-request"><day>17</day><month>September</month><year>2015</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-recd"><day>31</day><month>December</month><year>2015</year></date>
           <date date-type="accepted"><day>14</day><month>January</month><year>2016</year></date>
      </history>
      <permissions>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported License. To view a copy of this license, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/.html">This article is available from https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/.html</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/.pdf</self-uri>


      <abstract>
    <p>During the Carbonaceous Aerosols and Radiative Effects Study (CARES) the
US Department of Energy (DOE) G-1 aircraft was used to sample aerosol and gas
phase compounds in the Sacramento, CA, plume and surrounding region. We
present data from 66 plume transects obtained during 13 flights in which
southwesterly winds transported the plume towards the foothills of the Sierra
Nevada. Plume transport occurred partly over land with high isoprene emission
rates. Our objective is to empirically determine whether organic aerosol (OA)
can be attributed to anthropogenic or biogenic sources, and to determine
whether there is a synergistic effect whereby OA concentrations are enhanced
by the simultaneous presence of high concentrations of carbon monoxide (CO)
and either isoprene, MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR (sum of methyl vinyl ketone and
methacrolein), or methanol, which are taken as tracers of anthropogenic and
biogenic emissions, respectively. Linear and bilinear correlations between
OA, CO, and each of three biogenic tracers, “Bio”, for individual plume
transects indicate that most of the variance in OA over short timescales and
distance scales can be explained by CO. For each transect and species a plume
perturbation, (i.e., <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA, defined as the difference between 90th and
10th percentiles) was defined and regressions done amongst <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> values
in order to probe day-to-day and location-dependent variability. Species that
predicted the largest fraction of the variance in <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA were <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>O<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CO. Background OA was highly correlated with background
methanol and poorly correlated with other tracers. Because background OA was
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 60 % of peak OA in the urban plume, peak OA should be primarily
biogenic and therefore non-fossil, even though the day-to-day and spatial
variability of plume OA is best described by an anthropogenic tracer, CO.
Transects were split into subsets according to the percentile rankings of
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CO and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>Bio, similar to an approach used by Setyan et
al. (2012) and Shilling et al. (2013) to determine if anthropogenic–biogenic
(A–B) interactions enhance OA production. As found earlier, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA in
the data subset having high <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CO and high <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>Bio was
several-fold greater than in other subsets. Part of this difference is
consistent with a synergistic interaction between anthropogenic and biogenic
precursors and part to an independent linear dependence of <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA on
precursors. The highest values of <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>O<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>, along with high
temperatures, clear skies, and poor ventilation, also occurred in the high
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CO–high <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>Bio data set. A complicated mix of A–B
interactions can result. After taking into account linear effects as
predicted from low concentration data, an A–B enhancement of OA by a factor
of 1.2 to 1.5 is estimated.</p>
  </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
<body>
      

<sec id="Ch1.S1" sec-type="intro">
  <title>Introduction</title>
      <p>In order to explain the amount of organic aerosol (OA) as well as its spatial
distribution and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn>14</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C content, several groups have advanced the
hypothesis that the secondary component (SOA) is derived from biogenic
precursors but its formation depends on interactions between urban
anthropogenic emissions and a larger, geographically dispersed pool of
biogenic emissions, hereinafter referred to as A–B interactions (de Gouw et
al., 2005; Weber et al., 2007; Goldstein et al., 2009; de Gouw and Jimenez,
2009; Carlton et al., 2010; Worton et al., 2011; Xu et al., 2015). A–B interactions lie at
the intersection of two problems. First is an explanation of unexpectedly
high concentrations of OA, which are most prominently noticed downwind of
urban areas (e.g., Volkamer et al., 2006; Kleinman et al., 2008; Matsui et
al., 2009). Second is the finding that a high fraction of OA consists of
non-fossil carbon of biogenic origin, even downwind of urban areas (Schichtel
et al., 2008; Marley et al., 2009; Hodzic et al., 2010; Zotter et al., 2014).</p>
      <p>Progress has been made on the problem of models predicting lower OA than
observed. Older models (ca. pre 2005) are now recognized to contain a limited
set of aerosol precursors and aerosol formation mechanisms. Some part of the
gap between observations and theory can be closed using updated models that
contain new categories of anthropogenic compounds, chemical mechanisms, and
physical interactions (e.g. Robinson et al., 2007; Hodzic et al., 2010). In
order to agree with <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn>14</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C measurements, the gap has to be closed with a
significant fraction of non-fossil carbon, which brings us back to the
possibility of A–B interactions.</p>
      <p>Evidence for, and mechanisms of, A–B interactions have been reviewed by
Hoyle et al. (2011). Pertinent findings are that (1) the major source of
volatile organic compounds (VOCs), globally and in many well-studied regions, such as the southeastern US
and Canadian boreal forest, is biogenic (e.g., Guenther et al., 1995;
Goldstein et al., 2009; Slowik et al., 2010), (2) large biogenic emission
rates and SOA yields are a possible cause for the high fraction of non-fossil
carbon found in the summer in many locations (Schichtel et al., 2008; Hodzic
et al., 2010), including those that are nominally urban (Weber et al., 2007;
Marley et al., 2009), and (3) there are realistic mechanisms whereby biogenic
SOA yields depend on the presence of anthropogenic pollutants (Carlton et
al., 2010). The latter include effects of anthropogenic pollutants on oxidant
levels and consequently on biogenic VOC oxidation rates (Kanakidou et al.,
2000), increased partitioning of biogenic VOC oxidation products to the
aerosol phase because the aerosol volume, including associated water,
available for partitioning is increased by an anthropogenic component
(Carlton et al., 2010; Carlton and Turpin, 2013), aqueous phase reactions
(Ervens et al., 2011), and effects of sulfate on aerosol phase chemistry (Xu
et al., 2015). Explanations of non-fossil carbon based on A–B interactions
are constrained by the observation that the difference between modeled and
observed OA concentration generally decreases as anthropogenic influence
decreases (Tunved et al., 2006; Chen et al., 2009; Hodzic et al., 2010;
Slowik et al., 2010)</p>
      <p>In multiple studies it has been found that OA, SOA, and/or WSOC (water
soluble organic carbon; demonstrated to be a surrogate for SOA) are highly
correlated with anthropogenic tracers. High correlations have been observed
even at locations where it is suspected that much if not most SOA is
biogenic. In a study of the Atlanta region, aircraft flights over the urban
core established that WSOC is proportional to carbon monoxide (CO), while surface observations
of aerosol <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn>14</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C, also in the urban core, established that 70–80 % of
WSOC was non-fossil and likely biogenic (Weber et al., 2007). While there was
a high correlation between WSOC and CO in Atlanta, similar to that observed
in the New York City metropolitan region (Sullivan et al., 2006), there was
no clear linkage between WSOC and biogenic VOCs. At the Blodgett Forest
Research Station, located 25 km downwind from the Carbonaceous Aerosols and Radiative Effects Study (CARES) sampling region, OA
was observed to be correlated with CO (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.79</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) but based on <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn>14</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C
filter samples it was determined that the majority of aerosol carbon was
non-fossil from biogenic sources (Worton et al., 2011). Although high
correlations between OA and biogenic VOCs have been reported (e.g. Slowik et
al., 2010), it is more typical that in regions with an urban influence,
correlations are low and in general do not suggest a relation between SOA and
biogenic precursors. In a set of global calculations having the objective of
satisfying the dual constraints of matching observations of OA concentration
and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn>14</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C content, it was found that the best of many mechanisms
considered was one in which the geographic distribution of OA followed that
of anthropogenic CO, but had a <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn>14</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C content appropriate to a biogenic
precursor (Spracklen et al., 2011).</p>
      <p>An objective of the CARES field campaign, conducted in June 2010, was to
determine whether and to what extent the simultaneous occurrence of high
concentrations of anthropogenic and biogenic compounds is associated with
enhanced concentrations of OA. An overview of the field campaign is given by
Zaveri et al. (2012) and a detailed description of the meteorology and
emission source regions affecting the Sacramento plume provided by Fast et
al. (2012). Effects of A–B interactions have been examined during the CARES
campaign by Shilling et al. (2013) using aircraft data from the G-1 and by
Setyan et al. (2012) using data from the rural T1 surface site located 40 km
northeast of Sacramento. Both studies considered the ratio
(OA <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> background) <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> (CO <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> background) and found that this ratio increased by
a factor of <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 3 when an anthropogenically influenced air mass also
contained high concentrations of biogenic VOCs. At a CO concentration,
indicative of a significant anthropogenic impact, both studies find that OA
concentrations are higher when the CO is accompanied by higher concentrations
of biogenic VOCs.</p>
      <p>In this study we use linear and bilinear regressions to empirically relate OA
to tracer compounds of anthropogenic or biogenic origin. CO is used as a
nearly inert tracer of anthropogenic emissions, that upon atmospheric
oxidation lead to SOA. A comparison is made between calculations in which
isoprene, methyl vinyl ketone and methacrolein (MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR), or methanol
(CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH) were used as tracers of biogenic emissions. Isoprene and
MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR, in contrast to CO, have short atmospheric lifetimes; therefore, their
presence only explicitly addresses biogenic inputs to an air mass over a few
hours time span. CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH, has a primary biogenic source and a lifetime of
order 10 days (Schade and Goldstein, 2006; Wells et al., 2012) and therefore
can provide information on biogenic inputs over a time span comparable to the
lifetime of tropospheric aerosols.</p>
      <p>In order to understand the roles of anthropogenic and biogenic tracers in
describing SOA formation over spatial scales comparable to the Sacramento
plume, correlation coefficients between OA and explanatory variables have
been determined for each plume transect. For the purpose of determining the
sensitivity of OA to conditions that vary over the CARES campaign, we define
for each plume transect and species a background concentration and plume
perturbation, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, and use these quantities in a regression analysis
amongst transects. Transects are also split into subsets having the varying
combination of low and high values for <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CO and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>isoprene,
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR or <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH. We find that the data subset
with high concentrations of both anthropogenic and biogenic tracers has
uniquely high values of <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA. This result is similar to the A–B
enhancement found by Setyan et al. (2012) and Shilling et al. (2013). We
consider whether the uniquely high values of <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA can be explained by
an independent linear dependence of <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA on anthropogenic and biogenic
tracers, rather than a synergistic effect.</p>
      <p>OA and its anthropogenic and biogenic precursors are expected to be mutually
enhanced through a common dependence on meteorological conditions (e.g.
ventilation, sunlight, and temperature) occurring in pollution episodes
(Goldstein et al., 2009). Such conditions promote A–B interaction and may
also give rise to an altered, non-synergistic dependence of OA on precursors.
Our analysis cannot distinguish between causes of enhanced OA, leading us to
equate the net effect of enhanced OA above that expected from a bilinear
model of low concentration data to an A–B interaction. We find a high
correlation between <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>O<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> (Herndon et al., 2008;
Wood et al., 2010). Studies of the dependence of O<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> on meteorological
factors and on anthropogenic and biogenic precursors have a long history and
could yield insights on SOA production.</p>
      <p>Although there is a high anthropogenic, high biogenic, subset that stands
out as having high concentrations of <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA, most of the spatial
variability of OA within a transect and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA amongst transect can be
explained by CO or <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CO, respectively. These observations suggest a
primarily anthropogenic origin for OA produced in the Sacramento plume. In
contrast, the variability of background OA is much better explained by
background CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH, which suggests a biogenic origin. As background OA is
more abundant than OA formed in the Sacramento plume, the plume OA, though
correlating best with CO, is expected to have a <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn>14</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C signature of
non-fossil, biogenic carbon. The plume composition would then resemble that
observed in Atlanta (Weber et al., 2007) and that observed in the afternoon
outflow from Los Angeles (Zotter et al., 2014).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2">
  <title>Experimental</title>
      <p>Data for the CARES field campaign including the G-1 data used in this study
can be accessed from DOE's ARM (Atmospheric Radiation Measurement) Climate
Research archive at <uri>http://www.archive.arm.gov</uri>. AMS (Aerosol Mass
Spectrometer) and PTR-MS (Proton Transfer Reaction Mass Spectrometer) data
were recorded at the instrument cycle time of 13 and 4 s, respectively. Most
other measurements were collected at 1 Hz. Data used in this study was
interpolated or averaged to a 10 s time base. Units for aerosol
concentration are <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>g m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> at 1013 mb and 23 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C. Trace
gas abundances are expressed as mixing ratios in units of ppbv. When
referring to aerosol and gas phase species collectively, the term
concentration is used.</p>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS1">
  <title>Instruments</title>
      <p>The primary chemical measurements used in the regression analysis are
(1) organic aerosol: designated hereinafter as OA, (2) CO: a surrogate for
anthropogenic precursors of OA, (3) isoprene: MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR, and CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH,
surrogates for biogenic OA precursors, and (4) O<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>: a product of
OH-driven photochemistry. These species were measured using an Aerodyne
HR-Tof-AMS (High-Resolution Time-of-Flight Aerosol Mass Spectrometer), a VUV
(vacuum ultraviolet) resonance fluorescence detector built at BNL (Brookhaven
National Laboratory), an Ionicon PTR-MS (Lindinger et al., 1998), and a TEI49
(Thermo Environmental Instruments) O<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> detector, respectively. An
overview of instrumentation used in CARES is given in Zaveri et al. (2012).</p>
      <p>Operational principals of the AMS are described by Canagaratna et al. (2007)
and references therein. Its use on the G-1 during CARES is described by
Shilling et al. (2013). In brief, the AMS on the G-1 operated in V-mode, with
the duty cycle devoted entirely to determining mass, rather than
mass-resolved particle size. A pressure controlled inlet maintained constant
volumetric flow at all flight altitudes. Aerosol entered the cabin through a
two stage diffuser isokinetic inlet designed by Brechtel Manufacturing with a
transmission efficiency close to 100 % for particles smaller than
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 3 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>m. The transmission efficiency of the AMS falls off
above a vacuum aerodynamic diameter (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mtext>va</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> of 600 nm dropping to
zero at 1.5 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>m.</p>
      <p>The PTR-MS on-board the G-1 is described by Shilling et al. (2013).
Co-detection of compounds isobaric to isoprene, MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR, and
CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH was thought to be minor in the CARES domain. Mixing ratios of
monoterpenes were typically close to the limit of detection and therefore
could not be used to identify air masses influenced by biogenic emissions.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2">
  <title>Flights</title>
      <p>There were 22 research flights in CARES. Only boundary layer portions of
flights with SW winds are considered here. Turbulent kinetic energy
dissipation rate and the standard deviation of vertical velocity were used to
distinguish the convective boundary layer from the more quiescent free
troposphere. Flights selected make a relatively homogeneous set in terms of
sampling locations. There were 14 such flights, one of which (623a) is not
included in this analysis because of problems with the CO measurement.
Flights are listed in Table 1. A composite ground track for the SW flights is
given in Fig. 1. Proceeding in the direction of the wind, transects are
identified as Upwind, T0, City-Edge, T1, and Foothills. Transects T0 and T1
passed over the similarly named ground sites. These five flight segments are
more or less perpendicular to the wind direction. Unfortunately there are no
pairs of compounds that can be used for photochemical age. Organic aerosol O
to C ratios reported by Shilling et al. (2013) are in a narrow range and thus
not likely to provide information on aging.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F1"><caption><p>Map of sampling region, showing composite ground track for SW
flights. Five transects more or less perpendicular to the boundary layer
wind direction are indicated. Adapted from Zaveri et al. (2012).</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=213.395669pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/16/1729/2016/acp-16-1729-2016-f01.pdf"/>

        </fig>

      <p>Figure 1 shows a change in terrain color from brown to green at the T1
transect, indicating more vegetation to the east, which coincides with
emission inventory estimates of higher isoprene emissions rates (Fast et al.,
2012; Zaveri et al., 2012). The Foothills transect is at the western edge of
a 20–25 km band of oak woodlands. Still further to the northeast there is a
shift in vegetation, so that at the Blodgett Forest research station, 75 km
from Sacramento, monoterpenes are the dominate source of SOA (Dreyfus et al.,
2002).</p><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS3">
  <title>Plumes</title>
      <p>On many flights the Sacramento plume was crossed multiple times at the same
location. If these crossings were consecutive, at the same altitude, and
within the boundary layer, they were grouped together for the purpose of
calculating concentrations and for regression analysis. If plume crossings
were separated in time or were at different altitudes they constituted
separate data entries. Henceforth, the term <italic>plume crossing</italic> will refer to
individual crossings whilst the term <italic>transect</italic> collapses consecutive
crossings (that meet criteria given above) into a single entity. As listed in
Table 2, there were a total of 83 plume crossings that made up 66 plume
transects. The number of 10 s data points in a single plume crossing is about
60. For each transect, frequency distributions for aerosol and trace gas
concentration were determined. Background concentrations are operationally
defined by the 10th percentile. Perturbations above background were
calculated as the difference between the 90th and 10th percentile of
concentration and are denoted by the symbol <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T1"><caption><p>Flights used in study.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="2">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="left"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Flight</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Time (PST; hh:mm)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">606a</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">09:35–12:42</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">606b</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">14:29–17:14</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">608a</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">07:56–11:12</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">608b</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">14:24–17:47</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">615a</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">07:57–11:01</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">615b</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">13:50–17:07</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">619a</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">14:26–17:29</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">623b</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">14:25–17:25</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">624a</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">07:56–11:11</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">624b</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">14:25–17:12</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">627a</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">09:24–12:47</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">628a</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">08:23–11:33</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">628b</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">14:21–16:42</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3">
  <title>Data analysis</title>
      <p>In our analysis of the G-1 data set we consider variations in OA observed
along a plume transect and a larger-scale variability that includes the
effects of day-to-day changes in meteorology. Variations in OA are
correlated with anthropogenic and biogenic explanatory variables, which are
surrogates for the actual compounds that form SOA.</p>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS1">
  <title>Tracers</title>
      <p>CO was used as a tracer of anthropogenic emissions. It is almost inert over
the timescale for forming SOA and its emission sources are either co-located
with sources of VOCs that can form SOA or follow a common spatial pattern
such as population density. Proceeding downwind from a high emission region,
dilution causes concentrations of CO and OA to decrease. SOA is formed from
photochemical processing of emitted pollutants while changes to CO aside from
dilution are relatively minor (in the absence of downwind emission sources)
causing the ratio OA <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> CO to increase with photochemical age (Sullivan et
al., 2006; Weber et al., 2007; de Gouw et al., 2005, 2008; Kleinman et al.,
2008). Formation of CO from oxidation of biogenic compounds is discussed by
Shilling et al. (2013) and thought to be a small fraction of anthropogenic
emissions for flights discussed herein. A comparison of regression slopes
measured on T0 transects with those measured on T1 transects shows
considerable variability that averages out to a 54 % increase downwind,
less than seen in other urban plumes. OA to CO ratios observed over T0 are
several-fold greater than the lowest values observed in other urban centers
where primary emissions are important (calculated from Zhang et al., 2005,
2007). This is in agreement with observations from T1 that show 90 % of
OA is secondary (Setyan et al., 2012) and observations from the G-1 (Shilling
et al., 2013) that show only minor changes in O to C ratios as a function of
downwind distance. A factor contributing to a low range in processing is that
the T0 site is 14 km downwind of the urban center and therefore OA observed
on the T0 transect is already somewhat aged (Fast et al., 2012). Also,
Sacramento urban emissions are spread out over a fetch nearly equal to the T0
to T1 distance, thereby blurring the distinction between urban and downwind
chemistry. An O to C signal for fresh emissions is further diluted by aged
background aerosol from the San Francisco Bay area or from recirculation of
the prior days plume into the residual layer over Sacramento.</p>
      <p>Isoprene, first generation isoprene oxidation products MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR, and
methanol were used as surrogate compounds to represent emitted biogenic VOCs
responsible for SOA formation. As the atmospheric lifetime of isoprene with
respect to OH oxidation is of an order of 1 h (at
OH <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 3 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 10<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">6</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> molec cm<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, its presence in the
atmosphere reflects local conditions rather than the longer time span over
which SOA production is thought to occur. Because the reaction of MVK<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>MACR with
OH is <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 3 to 4 times slower than isoprene, atmospheric residence times
are closer to the timescale for transport of the Sacramento plume within our
sampling region. Transport times from the Sacramento urban center to T1 have
been calculated to be 2 to 8 h from WRF-Chem simulations (Fast et al.,
2012). However, under high NO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> conditions such as found in the
photochemically active regions of an anthropogenic plume, the formation of OA
from isoprene emissions proceeds primarily from second and higher generation
oxidation products rather than directly from MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR (Ng et al., 2006;
Carlton et al., 2009). While there might not be a direct link between
concurrently measured isoprene or MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR and SOA, the occurrence of
high mixing ratios of isoprene and its oxidation products can indicate a
potential for future SOA production or be a general indicator that
meteorological conditions such as temperature, sunlight, ventilation, and
wind direction are favorable for the occurrence and accumulation of biogenic
VOCs. Methanol, in contrast, addresses source attribution for biogenic
aerosol in much the same way as CO is used as a tracer of anthropogenic SOA
precursors. The atmospheric lifetime of methanol is <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 10 days and while
not an SOA precursor, it is co-emitted with biogenic VOCs that are. Under
conditions prevailing in the experimental area it is expected that the source
of methanol is almost entirely biogenic (Wells et al., 2012). Emission rates
for CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH, especially the biogenic component from new leaf production,
have a pronounced seasonal variability peaking in the spring and early summer
(Schade and Goldstein, 2006; Wells et al., 2012), nearly coincident with the
CARES field campaign. In other regions and at other times, a greater fraction
of CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH may derive from maritime sources, forest fires, or peroxy
radical combination reactions, which could compromise the utility of
CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH as a tracer of biogenic aerosol precursors.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T2"><caption><p>Number of plume crossings and transects.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="3">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="right"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Location</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" namest="col2" nameend="col3" align="center">Number </oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Plume crossings</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Transects</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Upwind</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">11</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">10</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">T0</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">25</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">22</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">City-edge</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">15</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">12</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">T1</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">26</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">17</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Foothills</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">6</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">5</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS2">
  <title>Regression analysis</title>
      <p>A series of single variable and multi-variable regressions were performed
using time series measurements for each of 66 transects. M1 to M5 designate
the models used. Standardized variables, indicated with a subscript S, have
zero mean and unit standard deviation. The term “Bio” designates a tracer
of biogenic emission, which in this study is isoprene, MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR, or
CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH. Models M1–M4 are based on CO and Bio as explanatory variables. M4
uses a bilinear combination of CO and Bio and M3 measures multi-collinearity,
the extent to which the two explanatory variables, CO and Bio, are
correlated. M5 is a linear relation between OA and O<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p>
      <p>The same models were used to compare backgrounds and concentration
perturbations (e.g. <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CO) amongst transects. M1 to
M5 are defined by

                <disp-formula specific-use="align"><mml:math display="block"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>M1</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="1em" linebreak="nobreak"/></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>OA</mml:mtext><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mtext>CO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>M2-Bio</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="1em" linebreak="nobreak"/></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>OA</mml:mtext><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mtext>BIO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mtext>Bio</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>M3-Bio</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="1em" linebreak="nobreak"/></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>CO</mml:mtext><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mtext>BIO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mtext>Bio</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>M4-Bio</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="1em" linebreak="nobreak"/></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>OA</mml:mtext><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mtext>CO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mtext>CO</mml:mtext><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mtext>BIO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mtext>Bio</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula></p>
      <p><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>

                <disp-formula specific-use="align"><mml:math display="block"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mtext>M4</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>S</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mtext>-Bio</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="1em" linebreak="nobreak"/></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mtext>OA</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>S</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mtext>CO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mtext>CO</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>S</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mtext>BIO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mtext>Bio</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>S</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>M5</mml:mtext><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="1em"/></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>OA</mml:mtext><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mtext>O</mml:mtext><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>

            where the <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>a</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> are intercepts and the <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>B</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> are regression slopes.
In order to improve legibility MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR will be shortened to MVK when
used as a subscript. Quadratic models with terms such as CO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>S</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> times
Bio<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>S</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> were also considered, but did not yield insights or
appreciable increases in performance.</p>
      <p>For the standardized model, M4<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>S</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>, a comparison of <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mtext>CO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
with <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mtext>BIO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> gives the relative effect on OA<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>S</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> of changing
CO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>S</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and Bio<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>S</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> by the same multiple of their respective standard
deviations. Standardization does not affect the value of <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> nor does it
change the signs of the coefficients of the explanatory variables.
Standardized coefficients can be expressed in terms of bivariate Pearson
correlation coefficients as

                <disp-formula id="Ch1.E1" specific-use="align" content-type="subnumberedsingle"><mml:math display="block"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mlabeledtr id="Ch1.E1.1"><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mtext>CO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>OA</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mtext>CO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>OA</mml:mtext><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mtext>BIO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>CO</mml:mtext><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mtext>BIO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>CO</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mtext>BIO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mlabeledtr><mml:mlabeledtr id="Ch1.E1.2"><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mtext>BIO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>OA</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mtext>BIO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>OA</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mtext>CO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>CO</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mtext>BIO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>CO</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mtext>BIO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mlabeledtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>

            where, e.g., <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>CO</mml:mtext><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mtext>BIO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the correlation coefficient
between CO and Bio from M3. <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mtext>CO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mtext>BIO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
reduce to <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>OA</mml:mtext><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mtext>CO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>OA</mml:mtext><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mtext>BIO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>,
respectively, in the case that CO and Bio are uncorrelated.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T3"><caption><p>Backgrounds averaged over transects at five locations.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><?xmltex \begin{scaleboxenv}{.92}[.92]?><oasis:tgroup cols="7">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="6" colname="col6" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="7" colname="col7" align="right"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Transect</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" namest="col2" nameend="col7" align="center">Background<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">MVK</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"/>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">OA</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">CO</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Isoprene</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">O<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Upwind</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">3.9</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">127</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.29</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.18</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">4.7</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">35</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">T0</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">4.1</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">132</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.30</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.13</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">4.6</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">41</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">City-edge</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">4.8</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">133</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.26</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.11</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">4.4</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">53</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">T1</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">5.3</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">134</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1.1</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.97</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">5.5</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">50</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Foothills</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">4.2</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">133</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1.9</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">1.5</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">5.1</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">57</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup><?xmltex \end{scaleboxenv}?></oasis:table><?xmltex \begin{scaleboxenv}{.95}[.95]?><table-wrap-foot><p><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> Background is the lowest 10th percentile. Units are ppbv, except
for organic aerosol (OA), which is <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>g m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p></table-wrap-foot><?xmltex \end{scaleboxenv}?></table-wrap>

      <p>In a three variable system spurious correlations arise because two variables
that are correlated with a third are necessarily correlated with each other
(Panofsky and Brier, 1968). For example, in the system OA, CO, Bio there is a
spurious correlation between OA and CO due to both variables being correlated
with Bio, given by <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>OA</mml:mtext><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mtext>BIO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>CO</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mtext>BIO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. Likewise, there is a spurious correlation between
OA and Bio due to both variables being correlated with CO, given by
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>OA</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mtext>CO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>CO</mml:mtext><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mtext>BIO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. Numerators of
Eq. (1a) and (1b) are therefore bivariate correlations of OA with CO and Bio,
respectively, in excess of the corresponding spurious value. Because CO and
Bio can be highly correlated, both spurious correlations, can be large. For
some transects, the linear models M1 and M2 predict a strong correlation
between variables, while the <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>s in model M4<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>S</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> are of
opposite sign. Thus, in some cases, the linear models can indicate that an
explanatory variable promotes OA, while in the context of M4 or
M4<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>S</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>, the opposite is true.</p>
      <p>A two variable model (e.g. M4) is judged to be an improvement over a single
variable model (M1 or M2) according to whether the added variable produces a
statistically significant increase in <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. Even if the added variable is
random, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> will increase as long as the added variable is not a linear
function of the explanatory variables already in use. The relation between
linear and bilinear values of <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> can be found in Panofsky and
Brier (1986, p. 112) and other statistics text books. Statistical
significance is discussed in the Supplement where it is pointed out that
because plumes are correlated structures with fewer degrees of freedom than
data points, the usual ways of determining statistical significance, such as
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> or <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>f</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> tests, do not apply (Thiébaux and Zwiers, 1984; Trenberth, 1984).</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4">
  <title>Results</title>
      <p>Tables 3 and 4 summarize chemical measurements from the G-1, providing
backgrounds and plume perturbations for OA, CO, isoprene, MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR,
CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH, and O<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> averaged over transects according to location.
Background concentrations of the long-lived constituents, OA, CO, and
CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH are to the first order about the same on all five legs. The short-lived
species, isoprene and MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR, increase by approximately an order of
magnitude from east to west, following changes in emissions. Ozone is an
intermediate case. Calling the 10th percentile of concentration
“background” comes closest to matching the traditional definition for
species with long atmospheric residence time. Even so, backgrounds for OA,
CO, and CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH have significant variability, which we will take advantage
of for source attribution of OA.</p>
      <p>From T0 eastward, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CO is elevated relative to Upwind values. Biogenic
mixing ratios have their major increase east of the City-Edge transect.
Effects of dilution are apparent in the decrease of <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CO and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA at the Foothills transect, albeit based on only five transects from three
flights.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T4"><caption><p>Plume perturbations, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>s, averaged over transects at five
locations.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><?xmltex \begin{scaleboxenv}{.95}[.95]?><oasis:tgroup cols="7">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="6" colname="col6" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="7" colname="col7" align="right"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Transect</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" namest="col2" nameend="col7" align="center"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">MVK</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"/>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">OA</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">CO</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Isoprene</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">O<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Upwind</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">3.0</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">23</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.32</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.26</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">3.1</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">13</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">T0</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">3.2</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">42</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.38</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.38</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">1.9</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">12</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">City-edge</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">3.7</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">39</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.55</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.51</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">1.2</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">15</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">T1</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">3.9</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">31</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">2.0</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">1.2</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">2.2</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">15</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Foothills</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1.3</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">13</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1.0</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.75</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">1.3</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">6.4</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup><?xmltex \end{scaleboxenv}?></oasis:table><?xmltex \begin{scaleboxenv}{.95}[.95]?><table-wrap-foot><p><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is the 90th percentile–10th percentile. Units are
ppbv, except for organic aerosol (OA), which is <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>g m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p></table-wrap-foot><?xmltex \end{scaleboxenv}?></table-wrap>

<?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS1">
  <title>Correlations for the spatial variability within individual
transects</title>
      <p>Figure 2 shows values of <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> obtained from models M1–M4. Regressions are
done for each transect, then <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is averaged over transects at each
location. Results are presented in three panels corresponding to the biogenic
tracer used; isoprene, MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR, or CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH. Each panel has a common
blue trace representing <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> from model M1, OA vs. CO. Adding a biogenic
tracer to M1 gives the bilinear model, M4, with an <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> shown by the black
trace. The additional variance in OA explained by M4 as compared to M1, is in
general small, showing that over the distance of an individual transect, OA
mainly follows CO. Correlations of OA with isoprene are particularly low.
Although the correlation of OA with MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR or CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH can be high
(e.g., average <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> of 0.39 and 0.47, respectively, at T1), there is little
to be gained, for most combinations of biogenic tracer and transect location,
by adding either compound to CO because the OA–biogenic correlation is
largely spurious. However, within the averages shown in Fig. 2, there is
considerable variability and a minority of transects in which most of the
explainable OA variance is due to a biogenic compound. Figures S1–S3 in the
Supplement provide <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> from models M1–M4 for all individual transects.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F2"><caption><p>Average coefficient of determination (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for bilinear or
linear least-squares regressions using data from five locations for plume
transects shown in Fig. 1. Explanatory variables are <bold>(a)</bold> CO and
isoprene, <bold>(b)</bold> CO and MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR, and <bold>(c)</bold> CO and
CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH. Panel <bold>(a)</bold> gives regression model in parenthesis.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=193.47874pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/16/1729/2016/acp-16-1729-2016-f02.pdf"/>

        </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F3"><caption><p>Coefficient of determination (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for transects on Leg T1,
using CO as an anthropogenic tracer and <bold>(a)</bold> isoprene,
<bold>(b)</bold> MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR, and <bold>(c)</bold> CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH as a biogenic
tracer. Results rank ordered according to <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> of bilinear model, M4-Bio.
Open green circles indicates transects in which OA is anti-correlated with
Bio. Legend in panel <bold>(a)</bold> identifies regression models.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=213.395669pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/16/1729/2016/acp-16-1729-2016-f03.pdf"/>

        </fig>

      <p>At this point the discussion shifts to the Sacramento plume proper, which
consists of 56 transects on legs T0, City-Edge, T1, and Foothills.
Coefficients of determination are shown for T1 transects in Fig. 3 (and
repeated as part of Figs. S1–S3). In most cases, especially ones in which a
high fraction of the OA spatial variability can be explained, more of the OA
variance is explained by CO than by a biogenic tracer. According to the
average values of <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> given in Table 5, adding the explanatory variable
isoprene, MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR, or CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH to M1, causes <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> to increase by
4, 7, or 13 %, respectively. Standardized regression coefficients in
Table 5 confirm the importance of CO and show that of the three biogenic
tracers, OA is best described by CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T5"><caption><p>Coefficients of determination for models M1–M5, where Bio is isoprene,
MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR, or CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH, applied to within-transect data.
Average determined for 56 transects.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><?xmltex \begin{scaleboxenv}{.95}[.95]?><oasis:tgroup cols="4">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="right"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Model<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>a</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" namest="col2" nameend="col3" align="center">Variables </oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">average <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>X</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>(s)</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"/>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">M1</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">OA</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">CO</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.68</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">M2-isoprene</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">OA</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">isoprene</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.16</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">M3-isoprene</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">CO</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">isoprene</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.18</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">M4-isoprene<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>b</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">OA</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">CO, isoprene</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.71</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">M2-MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">OA</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.40</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">M3-MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">CO</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.47</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">M4-MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>c</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">OA</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">CO, MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.73</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">M2-CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">OA</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.42</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">M3-CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">CO</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.32</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">M4-CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>d</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">OA</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">CO, CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.77</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">M5</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">OA</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">O<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.57</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup><?xmltex \end{scaleboxenv}?></oasis:table><?xmltex \begin{scaleboxenv}{.95}[.95]?><table-wrap-foot><p><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>a</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> Within a set of regressions, M1 to M4, missing values of either OA,
CO, or biogenic tracer were treated by removing all three data (listwise
deletion). <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>b</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> Average of standardized regression slopes for model
M4-isoprene<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>S</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mtext>CO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.80</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mtext>ISOPRENE</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.01</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>c</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> Average of standardized regression slopes for model
M4-MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>S</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mtext>CO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.74</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mtext>MVK</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.06</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>d</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> Average of standardized regression slopes for model
M4-CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>S</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mtext>CO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.67</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">CH</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">OH</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.29</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p></table-wrap-foot><?xmltex \end{scaleboxenv}?></table-wrap>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T6" specific-use="star"><caption><p>Coefficients of determination for models M1–M4 and standardized
regression slopes for model M4<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>S</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> for three transects.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="6">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="6" colname="col6" align="right"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Model</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" namest="col2" nameend="col3" align="center">Variables </oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">608b<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">608b<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">628b<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>X</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>(s)</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">City-edge</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">T1</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">T1</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">M1, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">OA</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">CO</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.94</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.74</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.99</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">M2, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">OA</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.89</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.89</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.01</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">M3, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">CO</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.89</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.69</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.00</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">M4, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">OA</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">CO, MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.95</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.91</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.99</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">M4<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>S</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mtext>CO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">OA<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>S</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">CO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>S</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>, MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>S</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.70</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.24</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.99</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">M4<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>S</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mtext>MVK</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">OA<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>S</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">CO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>S</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>, MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>S</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.29</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.75</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.07</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table><table-wrap-foot><p><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> See Figs. 4–6.</p></table-wrap-foot></table-wrap>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F4" specific-use="star"><caption><p>Flight 608b City-Edge transect. Top graph: time series of OA, CO,
and MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR. OA in <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>g m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>; CO and MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR in
ppbv. Time is Pacific Standard Time. Bottom plots: correspond from left to
right to models M1, M2, and M3 listwise deletion used for correlations but
not used for graphs. Data points on scatter plots connected to give a sense
of time continuity. Red lines are least-squares fit to data.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=327.206693pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/16/1729/2016/acp-16-1729-2016-f04.pdf"/>

        </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F5" specific-use="star"><caption><p>Flight 608b T1 transect. Same format as Fig. 4.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=332.897244pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/16/1729/2016/acp-16-1729-2016-f05.pdf"/>

        </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F6" specific-use="star"><caption><p>Flight 628b T1 transect. Same format as Fig. 4.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=332.897244pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/16/1729/2016/acp-16-1729-2016-f06.pdf"/>

        </fig>

      <p>Examples of time series for CO, MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR, and OA for three plumes are
given in Figs. 4 to 6. Coefficients of determination for models M1–M4 and
standardized regression slopes for models M4<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>S</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> are provided in Table 6. In the first two plumes from flight 608b (Figs. 4 and 5) OA is well
correlated with both CO and MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR and the two explanatory variables
are themselves highly correlated. Small differences determine whether OA either follows CO or MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR more in the bilinear model, M4. In the third case
from flight 628b (Fig. 6), OA is almost perfectly correlated with CO and there
is an absence of correlation with MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR. Transects were not long
enough to fully observe both sides of a plume. Coverage was, however, usually
more complete than the examples in Figs. 4 to 6.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T7" specific-use="star"><caption><p>Coefficients of determination between plume <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>a</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values for OA, CO, isoprene, MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR, CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH, and
O<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> based on data set of 56 transects.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="7">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="6" colname="col6" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="7" colname="col7" align="right"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Dependent variable</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" namest="col2" nameend="col7" align="center">Explanatory variable<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>a</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CO</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>Isoprene</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>O<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>b</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"/>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CO</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.69</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">1</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"/>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>Isoprene</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.11</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.01</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"/>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.15</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.06</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.57</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">1</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"/>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.55</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.43</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.13</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.25</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">1</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"/>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>O<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.88</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.61</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.08</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.08</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.35</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">1</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table><table-wrap-foot><p><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>a</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> defined for each transect as the 90th percentile of
concentration–10th percentile.
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>b</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> Bilinear regression with standardized variables:<?xmltex \hack{\newline}?>
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>S</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>CO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>CO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>S</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>IOPRENE</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>Isoprene<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>S</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>: <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>CO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.80</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>ISOPRENE</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.26</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.76</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.<?xmltex \hack{\newline}?>
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>S</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>CO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>CO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>S</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>MVK</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>S</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>: <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>CO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.78</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>MVK</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.19</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.72</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.<?xmltex \hack{\newline}?>
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>S</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>CO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>CO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>S</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">CH</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">OH</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>S</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>: <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>CO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.60</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">CH</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">OH</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.35</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.76</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p></table-wrap-foot></table-wrap>

<?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS2">
  <title>Regression analysis of plume perturbations</title>
      <p>Correlations have also been calculated amongst plume perturbation
concentrations, defined for each transect as the 90th percentile minus the
10th percentile, and denoted here by the symbol <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>. While correlations
on individual transects are only sensitive to cross-plume spatial variations,
the correlations between <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> quantities test how well plume
perturbations in OA follow perturbations in CO, MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR, isoprene,
CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH, and O<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>, as these compounds vary in concentration according
to position (i.e., T0 to Foothills) and according to day-to-day variations in
meteorological conditions. Table 7 summarizes values of <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for linear
regressions of all pairings of <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CO, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>Isoprene, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH, and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>O<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>. Also included are regression slopes and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for the
standardized bilinear models. Adding the explanatory variable <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>isoprene, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR, or <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH to <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA vs.
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CO increases the explained variance from 69 to 76, 72 or 76 %,
respectively. For independent transects, increases in <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are significant
with a <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> value of 0.02 or better.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F7" specific-use="star"><caption><p>OA as a function of CO, isoprene, MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR, CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH, and
O<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> for 56 transects. Background concentrations in panels on left-hand
side; <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>Concentrations on the right-hand side. Color legend in panel
<bold>(b)</bold> identifies data according to location. Gray lines are linear
least-squares fits with <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> given in each panel.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=312.980315pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/16/1729/2016/acp-16-1729-2016-f07.pdf"/>

        </fig>

      <p>The inter-plume correlation analysis was repeated using background (10th
percentile) values in place of <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>s. Figure 7 shows scatter plots for
background OA vs. background CO, MVK<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>MACR, isoprene, and O<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>, paired
with the corresponding scatter plots for <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> variables. Plots of
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> variables correspond to the first column of data in Table 7. Color
coding identifies points according to transect location. Background OA is
poorly correlated with other background species, with the exception of OA vs.
CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.82</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>). In that case there is a similar relation and
goodness of fit for transects at all locations. The poor correlation between
background OA and CO is surprising in view of model results that show the Bay Area to be an important source region (Fast et al., 2012). Amongst the
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> variables, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA has the highest correlation with <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>O<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.88</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>). Similar to the within-transect spatial
correlations, the variance of OA is better described by the anthropogenic
tracer, CO (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.69</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>), than by a biogenic tracer.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS3">
  <title>Comparisons of low- and high-concentration transects</title>
      <p>A third way of looking at OA as a function of anthropogenic and biogenic
tracers is to divide the 56 transects into subsets according to tracer mixing
ratio (Setyan et al., 2012; Shilling et al., 2013). Following Shilling et
al. (2013), we have parsed our data into subsets according to whether mixing
ratios of anthropogenic and biogenic tracers are low or high, defined here as
being in the bottom or top third of their ranked distribution. Average
concentrations of <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA were determined for the four combinations of
low and high <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CO and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>Bio, with Bio being isoprene,
MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR, or CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F8"><caption><p>Values of <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CO, and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>Isoprene for 4
subsets of transects. Pairs of bars labeled low CO and high CO have <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CO values that are below the 33rd percentile and above the 67th percentile,
respectively. Bars labeled low Bio and high Bio have <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>Isoprene values
that are below the 33rd percentile and above the 67th percentile,
respectively. Number of transects in each subset given at bottom. <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CO
ratio and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>Bio ratio give effects of precursor mixing ratio on an
A–B interaction relative to the expectation that <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA is a bilinear
function of <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CO, and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>Bio: <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CO ratio is (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CO: high CO, high Bio) <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CO: high CO, low Bio). <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>Bio
ratio is (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>Bio: high CO, high Bio) <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>Bio: high CO,
low Bio).</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=199.169291pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/16/1729/2016/acp-16-1729-2016-f08.pdf"/>

        </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F9"><caption><p>Bar graphs for subsets defined on the basis of <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CO and
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR. Same format as Fig. 8.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=199.169291pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/16/1729/2016/acp-16-1729-2016-f09.pdf"/>

        </fig>

      <p>Average concentrations for the <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CO, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>Bio systems
are shown in Figs. 8–10. In the case of MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR, the nine samples that
simultaneously have a high mixing ratio of <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CO and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>MVK<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>MACR (high–high subset) have an average <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 8.6 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>g m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> (Fig. 9). In contrast, subsets having a low mixing ratio of either
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CO and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR or both have a low average <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA (1.1 to 2.4 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>g m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. Data subsets defined with <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>isoprene or <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH share the property that only the high
anthropogenic, high biogenic subset has a high average <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA. However,
it can be seen from Figs. 8–10 that a component of the elevated <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA
in the high–high subset might be due to the subset having an elevated mixing
ratio of anthropogenic and/or biogenic precursors (i.e., the high–high subset
has more CO than the low-Bio–high-CO subset and more Bio than the low-CO–high-Bio subset). If A–B interactions did not exist, then by definition <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA would respond independently to changes in anthropogenic and biogenic
precursors. We assume that the response would be linear. For each choice of
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>Bio, a bilinear model (M4) was applied to a set of transects that
did not include those in the high–high subset. The resulting intercept and
slopes were used to calculate <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA for all transects. Observed and
calculated values of <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA are shown in Fig. 11. In this approach, an
A–B synergism should show up as a model under-prediction for the high–high
subset. Indeed, there is an under-prediction of <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA in the high–high
subset but it is smaller than suggested by comparing <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA amongst
subsets in Figs. 8–10. The ratio, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA(observed) <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA(bilinear model) for the high–high subset is 1.2 (0.3), 1.5 (0.3), and 1.2
(0.3), for isoprene, MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR, and CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH, respectively. Numbers in
parentheses are normalized root mean square deviations, a measure of the
spread in A–B enhancements extracted from the high–high subset points in
Fig. 11. Using only the averaged parsed data in Figs. 8–10 to remove
precursor effects (see Fig. 8 caption) yields an A–B interaction factor of
1.5, 3.6, and 1.3 for isoprene, MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR, and CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH, respectively,
closer to the results of Setyan et al. (2012) and Shilling et al. (2013).
Note that the choice of data subset used for the low concentration bilinear
fit will effect the calculated enhancements and may contribute to differences
between values determined here and published values.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5">
  <title>Discussion</title>
      <p>Three analysis methods were used. In method 1, spatial variations in OA are
compared with spatial variations of CO and Bio on a single transect. Our
metric for a successful explanatory variable is that it accounts for a high
fraction of variance in OA and that the standardized regression slopes, i.e.
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>s in model M4<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>S</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>, indicate that the explained variance is not
spurious. By these criteria the average dependence of OA on CO is greater
than its dependence on the biogenic tracer CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH, and much greater than
its dependence on isoprene or MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR.</p>
      <p>Although, on average, most of the explained variance in OA is due to CO,
there are transects in which OA is highly correlated with isoprene,
MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR or CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH (Figs. 3, S1–S3). Examples for MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR
are the sequential-in-time City-Edge and T1 transects from the 608b flight
shown in Figs. 4 and 5. Complicating the interpretation of method 1 in
general and the 608a transects in particular, is the circumstance that the
anthropogenic and biogenic tracers, CO and MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR, are themselves
often highly correlated. As can be seen by comparing the standardized
coefficients in Table 6 with values of <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for models M1–M4, small
difference in correlation coefficients can be associated with large changes
in the relative importance of CO and MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR as judged by the
standardized regression slopes. By most measures an <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> of 0.89 for OA
vs. MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR on the 608b City-Edge transect would be considered
excellent. But, because of the slightly higher <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for OA vs. CO (0.94)
and the high correlation between CO and MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR (0.89), a bilinear
model assigns most of the variance in OA to CO. An opposite conclusion is
reached for the 608b, T1 transect.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F10"><caption><p>Bar graphs for subsets defined on the basis of <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CO and
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH. Same format as Fig. 8.</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=199.169291pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/16/1729/2016/acp-16-1729-2016-f10.pdf"/>

      </fig>

      <p>The spatial correlation between CO and, for example, MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR on
individual transects is highly variable (Figs. 3b and S2). On average it is
somewhat greater than the correlation between OA and MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR. It is
not clear what processes cause a sometimes high but variable correlation
between anthropogenic and biogenic VOCs. A possible explanation is that it is
an accident of geography whereby under certain wind directions the plumes
from urban and forested areas line up, while under other wind directions the
overlap is lessened or eliminated. Faster oxidation of isoprene in the high
NO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> anthropogenic Sacramento plume could be a contributing factor.
Perhaps related is the observation by Dreyfus et al. (2002) of the
co-advection of anthropogenic and biogenic compounds from the direction of
Sacramento to the Blodgett Forest Research Station.</p>
      <p>In Method 2, plume perturbations (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>s) are defined on each downwind
transect and for each species of interest. Correlation coefficients
calculated amongst transects quantify the extent to which linear and bilinear
combinations of <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> tracers (CO, isoprene, MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR, CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH,
and O<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> can explain the variations of <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA that occur as chemical
and meteorological conditions vary from flight to flight and with transect
location. As with method 1, we find that CO is more successful in explaining
the variability of OA, in comparison to biogenic tracers. This can be seen
from the scatter diagrams in Fig. 7 and from the standardized coefficients
for the bilinear model M4<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>S</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> in Table 7.</p>
      <p>A notable feature of the correlations amongst transects is that <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>O<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> explains 88 % of the variance in <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA. A display of
Fig. 7j on a log–log scale (not shown) indicates that the <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA–<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>O<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> relation stays approximately constant at low
concentrations. Figure 7j also shows that the same relation holds at each of
the four downwind transect locations. The high <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA–<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>O<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>
correlation is evidence that most OA above background originates from
secondary chemistry. This assignment is in agreement with findings from many
locations that SOA is correlated with other oxidized species and in agreement
with the analysis of CARES observations by Setyan et al. (2012) and Shilling
et al. (2013). A mechanistic reason for a relation between OA and O<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> was
proposed by Herndon et al. (2008) based on a chemical mechanism in which OH
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> VOC was the rate limiting step in O<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> production, and also in forming
low volatility VOC oxidation products that partition to the aerosol phase.
The least-squares fit in Fig. 7j has a slope of
225 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>g m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> per ppm O<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>, as compared with the
104–180 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>g m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> per ppm O<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> slopes found by Herndon et
al. (2008) in Mexico City outflow. Differences could reflect a <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>30 %
uncertainty in AMS measurements (Canagaratna et al., 2007) or variations in
processing conditions.</p>
      <p>Because of the mismatch in atmospheric lifetimes between isoprene or
MVK<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>MACR and OA, it is not clear whether a correlation should be expected.
Shilling et al. (2013) have made an argument based on changes between pseudo
Lagrangian morning and afternoon measurements, that an anti-correlation is
consistent with OA formation from biogenics that have been depleted by
oxidation reactions. Robust relations between SOA and biogenic tracers are
typically not found. For example, de Gouw et al. (2005) present aerosol and
trace gas measurements from the <italic>Ronald H. Brown</italic>, taken off the coast of a region in Maine
with high biogenic emission rates. Sub-<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>m OA was observed to be
highly correlated with the anthropogenic tracer, iso-propyl nitrate, but not
correlated with either monoterpenes or isoprene. A similar lack of
correlation was found by Sullivan et al. (2006) and Weber et al. (2007). In
contrast, Slowik et al. (2010) showed an <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> of 0.71 for a regression of
less oxygenated SOA (OOA-2; O <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> C <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.46) vs. MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR,
concluding on the basis of the MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR lifetime that OOA-2 was formed
in the relatively recent past. Setyan et al. (2012) also observed a high
correlation (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.61) between MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR and a more-oxidized
OOA (O <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> C <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.54) at T1.</p>
      <p>Unlike isoprene and MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR, the atmospheric lifetime of CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH is
comparable to that of SOA. Standardized regression coefficients averaged over
all transects (Table 5) indicate that CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH captures the spatial
variance in OA better than short-lived biogenic tracers. The same is true for
regressions amongst transects based on <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> values (Table 7). However,
in methods 1 and 2, most of the variance in OA or <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA is still
captured by CO. Correlations and standardized regression coefficients, for
individual transects and amongst transects, are therefore consistent with an
anthropogenic source for most of the OA formed downwind of Sacramento.</p>
      <p>Figure 7 shows that the variance in background OA is uniquely captured by
background CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH, with an explained variance of 82 % compared to 23
to 27 % for background CO, isoprene, or MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR. The excellent fit
between background OA and background CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH and the poor fit with CO is
what would be expected if background SOA is primarily biogenic.</p>
      <p>In method 3, concentrations in the form of <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> values are used to
define plume-transect subsets, which have low or high mixing ratios of CO and
either isoprene, MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR, or CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH. Of the four combinations of low
and high values of <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CO and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>Bio, only the subset with a high
mixing ratio of both anthropogenic and biogenic tracers has high average
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA. However, according to method 1, most transects have a
correlation between OA and biogenic tracers that is low and/or spurious, such
that the addition of a biogenic to an OA vs. CO model, produces only a modest
improvement in explaining the variance of OA during a plume transect. In
method 2, there is a poor correlation between <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>isoprene or <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR. The correlation between <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA and
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH is somewhat higher but still lower than that between
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CO. We recognize the deficiencies in using short-lived biogenic tracers, yet in method 3 these same biogenic tracers as well
as the long-lived CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH can split the data set into subsets with and
without high <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA.</p>
      <p>The association between simultaneous high mixing ratios of anthropogenic and
biogenic tracers and high <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA is heavily reliant on data from two
flights on 28 June as this was the only day in which <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA exceeded
6 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>g m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>. What was distinctive about this day? According to
Fast et al. (2012), from 22 June till the end of the field campaign on
28 June, winds at 700 hPa were light and variable. After 25 June there was a
steady increase in maximum day time temperature; 27 and 28 June had the
warmest temperatures, approaching 40 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C at T0 on the 28th. Ozone
also reached its highest value of 90 ppb at T0. Wind speeds at the G-1
altitude were <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 2 m s<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>. A detailed description of chemical
conditions on 28 June is given by Shilling et al. (2013). In brief, during
these two flights isoprene reached 13 ppb, O<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> approached 120 ppb, CO
was in excess of 260 ppb, and OA more than 25 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>g m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>. Except
for CO, these values are the highest observed from the G-1 during CARES.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F11"><caption><p>Observed <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA presented in descending order. Blue trace is
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA from bilinear model using <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CO and <bold>(a)</bold> Isoprene,
<bold>(b)</bold> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR, and <bold>(c)</bold> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH as
explanatory variables. Regressions did not use transects from the high
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CO, high <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>Bio subsets, indicated by red symbols.</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=184.942913pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/16/1729/2016/acp-16-1729-2016-f11.pdf"/>

      </fig>

      <p>The link between temperature and photochemistry is complex, involving changes
in PAN lifetime, anthropogenic and biogenic emission rates, photolysis rates,
and water vapor (Sillman and Samson, 1995). In addition, high temperatures
are often accompanied by some measure of poor ventilation, promoting the
buildup of primary pollutants such as observed on 28 June. Daily maximum
ozone, obtained from monitoring networks, show a strong positive correlation
with temperature at most locations, including Sacramento (Steiner et al.,
2006, 2010). Over most of the temperature range of interest, emission rates
for isoprene and terpenes increase exponentially with leaf temperature
(Guenther et al., 1993), consistent with the temperature trend for daily
maximum isoprene mixing ratio observed in Sacramento (Steiner et al., 2010)
and at Blodgett Forrest (Dreyfus et al., 2002). All of the factors necessary
to create simultaneous high concentrations of <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CO,
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>isoprene, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH, and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>O<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> are in place on
28 June. The driving meteorological factors, however, do not necessarily
affect OA and OA precursors equally, with the result that trends in the
parsed data can exist without strong correlations between <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA and
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>Bio.</p>
      <p>According to our definition of plume perturbations (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>s)
approximately 60 % of peak OA in the Sacramento plume is background. This
value is determined by a 56 transect average of the ratio OA(10th
percentile) <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> OA (90th percentile). A high contribution from background
is consistent with transport simulations reported by Fast et al. (2012). As
background SOA would be aged, its presence is consistent with the O to C
ratios reported by Shilling et al. (2013). Correlations between background OA
and its precursors, in particular the strong correlation with background
CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH and weak correlation with background CO, suggest that background
OA is primarily biogenic. Background aerosol will foster the formation of OA
in the Sacramento plume by more than doubling the aerosol volume potentially
available for gas to particle partitioning. The increase in partitioning
realized will depend on the volatility of gas phase precursors and aerosol
viscosity and phase (e.g., Zaveri et al., 2014; Madronich et al., 2015). In
so far as isoprene and its oxidation products are expected to dominant VOC
reactivity, these compounds will affect the processing of anthropogenic
carbon and may be seen as contributing to A–B interactions.</p>
      <p>The circumstance that <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 60 % of peak OA is background, and appears
to be primarily biogenic, has the consequence that the fraction of non-fossil
carbon in the Sacramento plume will be significantly greater than half,
especially since plume OA is partially biogenic and approximately
20–30 % of urban anthropogenic emissions are estimated to be from
non-fossil sources, such as cooking, trash burning, and biofuel use (Hodzic et
al., 2011; Zotter et al., 2014). There were no <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn>14</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C measurements to
compare with our correlation-based predictions, but given observations in
areas with lower biogenic emission rates (Marley et al., 2009), and given
observations made at Blodgett Forest (Worton et al., 2011), it would be
surprising if non-fossil carbon did not predominate.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S6" sec-type="conclusions">
  <title>Conclusions</title>
      <p>We have used aircraft observations obtained during the CARES field campaign
to infer whether background OA and OA produced in the Sacramento plume are
primarily anthropogenic or biogenic, whether there is enhanced OA formation
caused by interactions between anthropogenic and biogenic compounds, and if
observations are consistent with <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn>14</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C measurements from other locations.
Linear and bilinear correlations for 56 individual transects show how well OA
follows explanatory variables over small spatial scales, whilst correlations
amongst transects yield information on how <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA (plume perturbation)
varies due to changes in location and day-to-day variations in meteorological
conditions. Following Setyan et al. (2012) and Shilling et al. (2013),
transects are split into subsets in order to determine whether high OA
concentrations are uniquely associated with high mixing ratios of
anthropogenic and biogenic tracers.</p>
      <p>Explanatory variables were CO as a tracer of anthropogenic OA precursors and
isoprene, MVK<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>MACR, and CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH as tracers of biogenic emissions. In
addition O<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> was used as a surrogate for photochemical activity. Tracers
should ideally have lifetimes comparable to the timescales over which OA is
formed. CO is long lived. CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH is used here (to the best of our
knowledge, for the first time) as an analogous long-lived biogenic tracer
with an atmospheric lifetime of <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 10 days. In contrast, isoprene and
MVK<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>MACR have lifetimes ranging from less than an hour to a few hours.</p>
      <p>We have found that
<list list-type="order"><list-item>
      <p>Linear and bilinear regression models indicate that most of the
explained variance in OA is explained by CO rather than a biogenic compound.
This is true for within transect and amongst transect correlations. Adding a
biogenic tracer to OA vs. CO to yield a bilinear model results in only a
modest increase in explained variance.</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p>Anthropogenic and biogenic tracers were often correlated, possibly due
to common effects of meteorology and chance geographic alignment of sources.
Spurious correlations between OA and explanatory variables necessitate the
use of multivariate models.</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p>The correlation between <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>O<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.88</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) agrees with the findings of Herndon et al. (2008) and Wood et
al. (2010) that there is a common rate limiting step for production of
O<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and SOA within an urban plume.</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p>The excellent correlation between background OA and background
CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>OH (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.82</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) and the low correlation with background CO
(<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.24</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) is consistent with a biogenic origin for background OA. This
comparison requires a long-lived biogenic tracer as the measured isoprene or
MVK <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> MACR backgrounds are unlikely to have been present when the
background OA was formed. As such they show little correlation.</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p>Background OA is on average 60 % of peak OA. On the basis of
background OA being primarily of biogenic origin and SOA formed downwind of
Sacramento deriving primarily from anthropogenic carbon, a fraction of which
is non-fossil, it is predicted that OA found in the Sacramento plume would be
mostly non-fossil.</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p>Evidence for A–B interaction comes from comparing <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>OA between
data subsets having different combinations of low and high mixing ratios of
anthropogenic and biogenic tracers. We are able to reproduce the findings of
Setyan et al. (2012) and Shilling et al. (2013) that high values of OA only
occur when anthropogenic and biogenic compounds both have a high mixing
ratio. Differences in precursor abundance between data subsets should be
taken into account to determine what portion of OA can be attributed to A–B
interactions. Doing so by using residuals from a bilinear fit to the amongst
transect data set, yields estimates that A–B interactions can increase OA
concentration by a factor of 1.2 to 1.5 depending on the compound used as a
tracer of biogenic emissions. This increase is relative to the bilinear
relation describing data not in the high CO–high Bio subset. A–B
interactions up to a factor of 3.6 are obtained from a fit to coarser
subset-averaged data.</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p>The data subset with high values of anthropogenic and biogenic
precursors is dominated by two flights on the last day of the field campaign.
Temperature reached 40 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C and wind speed was <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 2 m s<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>.
Concentrations of OA, O<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>, and biogenic trace gases were the highest
recorded, and CO was close to the highest recorded. In addition to the many
mechanisms for A–B interactions described in the literature (e.g. Carlton et
al., 2010; Hoyle et al., 2011; Xu et al., 2015) it is useful to consider
whether additional mechanisms are enabled during a pollution episode such as
what
occurred on 28 June. Poor ventilation and high temperatures lead to increased
biogenic emissions, higher ambient amounts of biogenic and anthropogenic SOA
precursors, and increased photochemical activity as evidenced by a higher
O<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> mixing ratio, the latter requiring the presence of anthropogenic
NO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>. Thus, the highest SOA concentrations are likely to occur coincident
with elevated mixing ratios of both anthropogenic and biogenic tracers.</p></list-item></list></p>
      <p>By its very nature conclusions based on correlations are inferential. It
would be highly desirable to test our results against a high-resolution
chemical transport model. Model calculations are essential for comparisons
between CARES and other regions; in particular, the well-studied eastern USA in
which aerosols have higher relative and absolute amounts of inorganic
constituents and there is a greater abundance of liquid water, perhaps
enabling A–B mechanisms to a greater extent than observed in the CARES
region.</p>
<sec id="Ch1.S6.SSx1" specific-use="unnumbered">
  <title>Copyright statement</title>
      <p>The author's copyright for this publication is transferred to US Government.</p>
</sec>
</sec>

      
      </body>
    <back><app-group>
        <supplementary-material position="anchor"><p><bold>The Supplement related to this article is available online at <inline-supplementary-material xlink:href="http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-1729-2016-supplement" xlink:title="pdf">doi:10.5194/acp-16-1729-2016-supplement</inline-supplementary-material>.</bold></p></supplementary-material>
        </app-group><ack><title>Acknowledgements</title><p>We thank chief pilot Bob Hannigan and the flight crew from PNNL for a job
well done. We gratefully acknowledge the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement
(ARM) and the Atmospheric Systems Research (ASR) Programs within the Office
of Biological and Environmental Research of the Office of Science of the
US Department of Energy (DOE) for supporting field and analysis activities
and for providing the G-1 aircraft. Support for J. Fast, J. Hubbe,
J. Shilling, and R. Zaveri of Pacific Northwest National Laboratory and
Q. Zhang of U. C. Davis was provided by the US DOE under contracts
DE-A06-76RLO 1830 and DE-SC0007178, respectively. Research by L. Kleinman,
C. Kuang, A. Sedlacek, G. Senum, S. Springston, and J. Wang of Brookhaven
National Laboratory was performed under sponsorship of the US DOE under
contracts DE-SC0012704.</p><p>This research was performed under the auspices of the United States
Department of Energy under contract no. DE-SC0012704.<?xmltex \hack{\newline}?><?xmltex \hack{\newline}?> Edited by: G. McFiggans</p></ack><ref-list>
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    </app></app-group></back>
    <!--<article-title-html>What do correlations tell us about anthropogenic–biogenic
interactions and SOA formation in the Sacramento plume during CARES?</article-title-html>
<abstract-html><p class="p">During the Carbonaceous Aerosols and Radiative Effects Study (CARES) the
US Department of Energy (DOE) G-1 aircraft was used to sample aerosol and gas
phase compounds in the Sacramento, CA, plume and surrounding region. We
present data from 66 plume transects obtained during 13 flights in which
southwesterly winds transported the plume towards the foothills of the Sierra
Nevada. Plume transport occurred partly over land with high isoprene emission
rates. Our objective is to empirically determine whether organic aerosol (OA)
can be attributed to anthropogenic or biogenic sources, and to determine
whether there is a synergistic effect whereby OA concentrations are enhanced
by the simultaneous presence of high concentrations of carbon monoxide (CO)
and either isoprene, MVK + MACR (sum of methyl vinyl ketone and
methacrolein), or methanol, which are taken as tracers of anthropogenic and
biogenic emissions, respectively. Linear and bilinear correlations between
OA, CO, and each of three biogenic tracers, “Bio”, for individual plume
transects indicate that most of the variance in OA over short timescales and
distance scales can be explained by CO. For each transect and species a plume
perturbation, (i.e., ΔOA, defined as the difference between 90th and
10th percentiles) was defined and regressions done amongst Δ values
in order to probe day-to-day and location-dependent variability. Species that
predicted the largest fraction of the variance in ΔOA were ΔO<sub>3</sub> and ΔCO. Background OA was highly correlated with background
methanol and poorly correlated with other tracers. Because background OA was
 ∼  60 % of peak OA in the urban plume, peak OA should be primarily
biogenic and therefore non-fossil, even though the day-to-day and spatial
variability of plume OA is best described by an anthropogenic tracer, CO.
Transects were split into subsets according to the percentile rankings of
ΔCO and ΔBio, similar to an approach used by Setyan et
al. (2012) and Shilling et al. (2013) to determine if anthropogenic–biogenic
(A–B) interactions enhance OA production. As found earlier, ΔOA in
the data subset having high ΔCO and high ΔBio was
several-fold greater than in other subsets. Part of this difference is
consistent with a synergistic interaction between anthropogenic and biogenic
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ΔCO–high ΔBio data set. A complicated mix of A–B
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