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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">ACP</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">ACP</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Atmos. Chem. Phys.</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">1680-7324</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/acp-14-6571-2014</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Emission trends and mitigation options for air pollutants in East Asia</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Wang</surname>
<given-names>S. X.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9727-1963</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Zhao</surname>
<given-names>B.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Cai</surname>
<given-names>S. Y.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Klimont</surname>
<given-names>Z.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Nielsen</surname>
<given-names>C. P.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Morikawa</surname>
<given-names>T.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Woo</surname>
<given-names>J. H.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2515-8467</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kim</surname>
<given-names>Y.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Fu</surname>
<given-names>X.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2993-0522</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Xu</surname>
<given-names>J. Y.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Hao</surname>
<given-names>J. M.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>He</surname>
<given-names>K. B.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution Control, School of Environment, &lt;br/&gt;Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Sources and Control of Air Pollution Complex, &lt;br/&gt;Beijing 100084, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>International Institute for Applied System Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Harvard China Project, School of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Harvard University, 29 Oxford St, &lt;br/&gt;Cambridge, MA 02138, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>Japan Automobile Research Institute, Tsukuba, Japan</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff6">
<label>6</label>
<addr-line>Department of Advanced Technology Fusion, Konkuk University, Seoul, South Korea</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>01</day>
<month>07</month>
<year>2014</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>14</volume>
<issue>13</issue>
<fpage>6571</fpage>
<lpage>6603</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2014 S. X. Wang et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2014</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/14/6571/2014/acp-14-6571-2014.html">This article is available from https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/14/6571/2014/acp-14-6571-2014.html</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/14/6571/2014/acp-14-6571-2014.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/14/6571/2014/acp-14-6571-2014.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Emissions of air pollutants in East Asia play an important role in the
regional and global atmospheric environment. In this study we evaluated the
recent emission trends of sulfur dioxide (SO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt;), nitrogen oxides
(NO&lt;sub&gt;x&lt;/sub&gt;), particulate matter (PM), and non-methane volatile organic
compounds (NMVOC) in East Asia, and projected their future emissions up until
2030 with six emission scenarios. The results will provide future emission
projections for the modeling community of the model inter-comparison program
for Asia (MICS-Asia). During 2005–2010, the emissions of SO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; and
PM&lt;sub&gt;2.5&lt;/sub&gt; in East Asia decreased by 15 and 12%, respectively, mainly
attributable to the large-scale deployment of flue gas desulfurization (FGD)
at China&apos;s power plants, and the promotion of highly efficient PM removal
technologies in China&apos;s power plants and cement industry. During this period,
the emissions of NO&lt;sub&gt;x&lt;/sub&gt; and NMVOC increased by 25 and 15%,
driven by rapid increase in the emissions from China due to inadequate
control strategies. In contrast, the NO&lt;sub&gt;x&lt;/sub&gt; and NMVOC emissions in
East Asia except China decreased by 13–17%, mainly due to the
implementation of stringent vehicle emission standards in Japan and South
Korea. Under current regulations and current levels of implementation,
NO&lt;sub&gt;x&lt;/sub&gt;, SO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt;, and NMVOC emissions in East Asia are projected to
increase by about one-quarter over 2010 levels by 2030, while PM&lt;sub&gt;2.5&lt;/sub&gt;
emissions are expected to decrease by 7%. Assuming enforcement of new
energy-saving policies, emissions of NO&lt;sub&gt;x&lt;/sub&gt;, SO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt;, PM&lt;sub&gt;2.5&lt;/sub&gt;
and NMVOC in East Asia are expected to decrease by 28, 36, 28, and 15%,
respectively, compared with the baseline case. The implementation of
&quot;progressive&quot; end-of-pipe control measures would lead to another one-third
reduction of the baseline emissions of NO&lt;sub&gt;x&lt;/sub&gt;, and about one-quarter
reduction of SO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt;, PM&lt;sub&gt;2.5&lt;/sub&gt;, and NMVOC. Assuming the full application
of technically feasible energy-saving policies and end-of-pipe control
technologies, the emissions of NO&lt;sub&gt;x&lt;/sub&gt;, SO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt;, and PM&lt;sub&gt;2.5&lt;/sub&gt; in
East Asia would account for only about one-quarter, and NMVOC for one-third,
of the levels of the baseline projection. Compared with previous projections,
this study projects larger reductions in NO&lt;sub&gt;x&lt;/sub&gt; and SO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt;
emissions by considering aggressive governmental plans and standards
scheduled to be implemented in the next decade, and quantifies the
significant effects of detailed progressive control measures on NMVOC
emissions up until 2030.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="33"/></counts>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body/>
<back>
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